Frosty’s Week 12 EPL DFS Hat Trick
Another week down, another week we totally crushed UCL in the middle of the week. We were top 1% in all the GPPs and we made some nice money. Today we have a VERY weird EPL slate. The only big 6 team playing is Tottenham…and they are not even a huge favorite. The biggest favorite is Leicester -206 without Maddison. Today’s slate is going to be the opposite of UCL where we had 22 goals in 5 games. We are probably going to have 5 total goals so we need to focus on peripherals and build a solid floor. We might see the lowest cash lines in a while.
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Now onto the hat trick:
This might be a little controversial…BUT due to the lack of forward options, and the slate we have, I think I am going to jam in Kane $10,800 in my lineups. I know…. Kane is a goal dependent forward, BUT, he has actually been really hot. He gets a good match up and if he scores he could tilt the slate to our favorite. I believe a lot of people will make Arnautovic $9,300 their top play and I don’t mind that.
Johann Berg Gudmundsson $7,500 might become a lock if Brady is out. I made the mistake of fading him last week and he came back to burn me. I am ok with him if Brady is out, but he becomes a must play if he is out.
Forward is tough…I told you guys. But Isaac Success has found some success (#badjoke) and he could totally get us some solid 5 floor points or more.
NOTE: Some people are going to want to play Vardy and/or Idenacho…meh. I guess in GPP but hard to find the roster spot in my optimal builds.
Christian Eriksen, $8,900 is the highest priced midfielder in the slate. I would love to play Eriksen…if Trippier was out… but since we won’t know that, Albrighton $7,100 becomes my favorite play of the slate. He should be highly owned since Maddison is out and he should take most of the set pieces.
I am hoping that Ryan Fraser does not start so I can plug in Junior Stanislas for only $7,000. I am also ok with playing Damari Gray (if fading Albrighton) or Snodgrass in this same range.
Karma’s favorite Shelvey is going to miss tomorrow’s game with an injury. In his absence, we are gifted Ki Sung-Yueng for only $3,400. He should be extremely popular tomorrow and I consider him a must play in cash games.
As soon as I saw DK’s pricing I was like WHAT THE HELL! Trippier is $7,700 and Holebas is $6,900… WOW! I can’t remember off top of my head when we had such expensive defenders. Maybe Mendy and one of the two above but still, those are ridiculous prices. My favorite top priced player (that I can realistically pay for) is Chillwell at $6,000. It is tough to think of a line with Albrighton and Chillwell so I might need to find the extra $900 for Holebas.
How awesome are the Huddersfield fullbacks? They are just reliable and productive. Our boy Chris Lowe, who used to be around the low 3k, is finally $5,400! We might end up having to pay up for him.
Hadergjonaj is $4,300. While his price is not a preferable price for me, there are not many punt options to like.
ALL THE GOALKEEPERS SUCK! Not really, but man are they bad this week. Especially bad this week. There are all priced about the same so instead of top, mid, value, I will rank them as I like them right now: (This could honestly go in any order and I would be like ok…I don’t hate that)
Whoever starts for Tottenham
Favorite bets: Tottenham – 123 and West Ham +127. (I have 3 units on each and 2 on a 2 team parlay).
I have a 5 team parlay that I like for this week: Burnley Leicester OVER 2.5 goals. Bournemouth +157, Tottenham -123, West Ham +127, Watford + 198 for a 60x multiplier!
If any of my advice helped, please don’t forget to tweet @DFS_Karma and me @FrostyDFS!