Welcome to my NASCAR DFS Breakdown for the Ally 400 at Nashville Superspeedway! In this article, I will preview the race, lineup construction, and offer some of my favorite drivers to target for today’s race! You can find all of our Core Plays throughout the NASCAR Premium Package. By signing up, you’ll get access to our Final Thoughts, all our Core Plays for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft, as well as our Prop Plays for MonkeyKnifeFight and PrizePicks! Remember, our NASCAR Premium content extends to ALL series (Trucks, Xfinity, Cup).
Race Preview
The Cup Series will be heading to Nashville coming off of a little break for the drivers and teams last week with Father’s Day. This race was dominated last season by Kyle Larson, but I don’t think we’ll see one driver lead most of the laps with the way this season has gone. We have 300 laps scheduled for today, but rain will more than likely play a factor as there’s a 65-70% chance weather plays an issue. Nashville does have lights, so I wouldn’t be surprised if they end up racing at night or even Monday afternoon. We’ll just have to wait and see what happens.
Lineup Construction/Strategy
The main decision we’re going to have to make today is what to do with Kyle Busch. He spun in qualifying and offers a ton of place differential starting last. For cash games, he’s a no-brainer but in GPPs, we have to consider the variance this sport has as anyone can wreck or cut a tire. There are 210 dominator points available on DraftKings and 30 on FanDuel assuming all the laps are completed. We’ll definitely want at least one driver in our lineups that have dominator potential starting close to the front. It’s a very interesting week with the weather, so it probably makes sense to play lighter here. With all of that out of the way, here are some of the drivers I’ll be targeting for Nashville.
Kyle Larson (DK $11,600 FD $14,000)
I know Larson hasn’t been the greatest DFS driver, but there’s a lot going for him this weekend. He won the race here last season and showed great speed in practice as he was 3rd in the 5-lap, 2nd in the 10-lap, and 4th in the 15-lap. It’s been a while since we’ve seen him dominate a race, but he’s led 25+ laps and recorded 10+ fast laps in six of the last eight races. Larson is the most expensive driver on both sites which might lower his ownership in tournaments with his inconsistency. The only concern I have here is that he’ll be without his crew chief Cliff Daniels, but I’m not too worried about it.
Ross Chastain (DK $10,500 FD $12,500)
I think all of you guys know Kyle Busch is a good play today, so let’s go with Ross here. Chastain looks fast once again as he was 4th on the 10-lap, 3rd on the 15-lap, and 1st on the 20-lap averages. He finished 2nd here last season in the #42 car for Chip Ganassi Racing so who knows what he can do in this #1 car that has been dominant all season. Chastain is a driver I expect to be a threat to dominate and contend for the win on Sunday. His team Trackhouse Racing is from Nashville so if you’re looking for a little narrative, that could be one to look at.
Christopher Bell (DK $9,100 FD $9,000)
Bell has had a lot of success at similar tracks to Nashville including a 4th at Dover and a 6th at Richmond. He finished 9th in this race last season and showed good speed in practice like his other Joe Gibbs Racing teammates. I love how consistent he’s been as of late and that his ownership should be low with some of the other options around him. Bell is one of my favorite tournament plays on the slate and will definitely be a driver I’m overweight on compared to the field.
Erik Jones (DK $7,300 FD $6,300)
Jones finished 9th at Phoenix, 10th at Dover, and 7th at Gateway which are all similar tracks to Nashville. He was 11th overall and 19th in the 5-lap for practice, so he should be able to move up from his 23rd starting spot. I think we’re still getting him at a bargain here considering what this #43 car done this season. I’m expecting Stenhouse to be higher owned in this price range, so Jones looks like a good pivot off of him and a driver with top 10 upside today.
Bubba Wallace (DK $6,500 FD $5,800)
Wallace was the fastest driver in practice, 2nd in the 5-lap, and 1st in both the 10-lap and 15-lap averages. He didn’t put down a good lap in qualifying, so he now offers a ton of place differential starting 30th at a very affordable price. I’m expecting him and Kyle Busch to be the chalk plays as both start deep and were very fast in practice. Bubba looks like the best point per dollar play on the slate and will be one of my highest owned drivers across my lineups.
Todd Gilliland (DK $5,100 FD $3,000)
Gilliland has finished 25th or better over the last five races and also has two top 20’s in that span as well. He finished 2nd here last season in the Truck Series and has ran well at some of the similar tracks to Nashville. He offers some place differential starting 33rd and continues to be priced like a punt even though he’s averaging 25.0 fantasy points per race. Gilliland is my favorite cheap play on the slate and offers top 20 upside as well.
NASCAR Nashville Quick Picks:
Winner: Ross Chastain
Favorite Play: Kyle Busch
Favorite Low Owned Play: Christopher Bell
Fade: Martin Truex Jr
Guy I’m playing you shouldn’t: Michael McDowell
I hope you guys enjoyed reading my free article for Nashville and I wish you the best of luck in your DFS contests! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you haven’t already @DFS_NASCAR_Zone, so you can see when I post NASCAR DFS content or ask any questions! If you want access to our final thoughts, core plays, prop plays, and betting card, make sure to sign up for the NASCAR Core Plays Package! Good luck and let’s see those winning screenshots!
