For those of you new to the plethora of content DFSKarma.com puts out on a daily/weekly basis, this is my weekly PGA article that focuses on the cheapos no one else dare write about. It had massive success last year with my getting sub $7K (DK) golfers finishing top 10 at less than 1% ownership on an almost weekly basis. Well, I’m bringing it back this year with the same concept. My cap this year is $7300 in DraftKings pricing (but you can still play them on FanDuel, FantasyDraft, or Yahoo). I focus on recent form and course history heavily to spit out my favorite 5 golfers from within that range.
2019 Valspar Championship
This event is played at Innisbrook Resort – Copperheard as a Par 71 at 7,340 yards with Bermuda greens.
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That being said, my PGA Punt Plays article is going to look a little different (for the better) moving forward. You will see below that I have highlighted 8 players within Fantasy National within my price range of $7300 and below.
Recent Form
7 Punt Plays to highlight this week ranging from 15th to 36th in my model in Total Strokes Gained.
1st up is one of AC’s favs Chez Reavie who, based on recent form alone, is my favorite Punt Play this week. His worst stats are with Bermuda putting, but it’s not worrisome enough to bother me.
Burns, on the other hand, fairs much better on Bermuda (recently anyway). He is the highest Punt Play this week in regard to DK points scored. However, that 108th ranking SG: ARG does caution me slightly.
Blaum is my favorite “near min salary” play this week. None of his recent form stats bother me, especially for a $6300 DK price tag.
Luke never hits when I think he will, so if I theoretically plan to fade him, he will go off. As you can see from his recent form numbers, he is the true definition of hot and cold. 2nd overall in SG: SG and 4th overall in SG: ARG, but 97th and 109th in SG: BS and SG: OTT respectively.
Dufner was on my list last week and MDF’d on me. Back to the well again as he “technically” made the cut. 94th overall in SG: APP isn’t enough to make me NOT play him again as everything else balances it out. Just needs a new set of irons is all.
Another hot and cold guy, Trey, is horrid on Bermuda as you can clearly see by his bottom of the barrel numbers in SG: SG and SG: P. Everything else is great, so if he can just sharpen his putting game, it wouldn’t be crazy to see him finish here where he did last year.
Lastly, Sam Saunders is the ultimate GPP play. I’ll say he definitely makes the cut at sub 2% ownership, which at $6300 is all you’re asking for.
Tournament History
While Dufner was cut here last here, he had a string of 4 straight Top 24 finishes at this event prior. I think his recent form has finally caught up to land him in the Top 20 again this week.
Luke finished 4th at this event in 2014 and then made the cut in a less than exciting fashion 3 out of the next 4 years. I’d peg him for Top 40 this week.
Blaum doesn’t know what being cut at this event feels like. That, AND he finished 16th here last year. The man is $6300 people. Plug away.
Another $6300 play, Sammy S, is 3/4 here recently with nothing too exciting. Keep in mind you are paying for someone to simply make the cut at that price.
Sammy B has never finished outside of the Top 12 at this event. Granted he only played here last year…and finished 12th.
Mully looks primed to recapture the magic of last year that placed him in 8th. If he can figure out his Bermuda putting game, I don’t think another Top 15 finish is crazy.
Chez is 2/4 at this event recently. If it wasn’t for his form being top notch, I wouldn’t have bothered with him. I think he makes and gets back into the Top 25 range.
Key
SG = Strokes Gained
SG: TOT = Total
SG: T2G = Tee to Green
SG: BS = Ball Striking
SG: SG = Short Game
SG: OTT = Off The Tee
SG: APP = Approach
SG: ARG = Around The Green
SG: P = Putting
