Trevis’ PGA Punt Plays – 2019 The Players Championship - DFS Karma
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Trevis’ PGA Punt Plays – 2019 The Players Championship

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For those of you new to the plethora of content DFSKarma.com puts out on a daily/weekly basis, this is my weekly PGA article that focuses on the cheapos no one else dare write about. It had massive success last year with my getting sub $7K (DK) golfers finishing top 10 at less than 1% ownership on an almost weekly basis. Well, I’m bringing it back this year with the same concept. My cap this year is $7300 in DraftKings pricing (but you can still play them on FanDuel, FantasyDraft, or Yahoo). I focus on recent form and course history heavily to spit out my favorite 5 golfers from within that range.

 

(3 straight weeks with a Top 15 Punt Play)

 

2019 The Players Championship

This event is played at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida. It plays as a Par 72 at 7,189 yards with Bermuda greens.

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That being said, my PGA Punt Plays article is going to look a little different (for the better) moving forward. You will see below that I have highlighted 8 players within Fantasy National within my price range of $7300 and below.

 

Tournament History

Starting off, you see that Chris Kirk ($6400 DK) hasn’t missed the cut at this event in 5 years (that 2016 W/D doesn’t count). He was a Punt Play last week and finished in 15th place. He also has a super early tee time of 8:01am and the winds might be a problem for Round 1.

HV3 ($6500 DK) finished 7th here last year and made the cut in his last two appearances prior. At $6500, you could do worse.

Zach Johnson ($7000 DK) is a perfect 5 for 5 at this event with 13th in 2015 being his best finish.

Dufner ($6600 DK) is on my personal black list, but a 5th place here last year along with only one missed cut in last 5 at uber low salary gets him on the list for this week.

Grillo ($7200 DK) is on my MonkeyKnifeFight black list and even has his own “No Grillo” emoji in our premium Discord Chat (that you can join by signing up at ChatDFS.com). He does have an 11th place finish two years ago, but not much else jumps out from a tournament history standpoint.

If Palmer ($6600 DK) were to follow his trend of alternating missed and made cuts each year, he is destined to miss the cut this year. I don’t see that happening though.

Even though Hadwin’s ($7200 DK) finishes have been less than stellar, you can’t ignore the fact that he has made the cut each of the last 3 years.

CH3 ($7300 DK) has the least exciting tournament history of the bunch, his recent form will make up for it.

 

Recent Form

I want to start off by pointing out that Chris Kirk has horrid recent form according to my model and blows on Bermuda greens, according to this model. His tourney history and last week performance should prove these numbers wrong.

Adam freaking Hadwin ya’ll. Ranks #1 out of every golfer in my model. Even with a horrendous 121 ranking in SG: ARG, he still finds himself with the best relative recent form this week.

Remember when I said CH3‘s recent form will make up for it? Well he ranks 4th overall in my model and his worst stat is putting on Bermuda.

No Grillo” comes in at 5th overall in my model and is also in the middle of the pack when it comes to his Bermuda short game.

Palmer leads all golfers in SG: OTT this week which should make up for his sucky 89th in SG: ARG.

ZJ‘s Bermuda recency is also slightly worrisome but his tourney history doesn’t have me shook.

Jason Dufner is another golfer that has a crappy SG: ARG rank, but is actually legit on Bermuda greens…recently.

HV3 should make the cut, but I don’t expect a stellar finish. However, he does rank 19th overall in DraftKings points scored and at $6500, that’s a steal.

 

 

Key

SG = Strokes Gained

SG: TOT = Total

SG: T2G = Tee to Green

SG: BS = Ball Striking

SG: SG = Short Game

SG: OTT = Off The Tee

SG: APP = Approach

SG: ARG = Around The Green

SG: P = Putting

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