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Course: Congaree Golf Club, Ridgeland, SC

Fast Facts

• Par 71; 7655 yards designed by Tom Fazio
• Bermuda Greens (stimp listed at about 11, so average speed)
• Larger greens (6200 sq. ft. on average)
• NO rough and no “sand” (there is sand but not treated as a hazard, same as Kiawah)
• Field: 156 players; Top 65 and ties make the cut
• 13 holes with water
• Corollary Courses: Kiawah (PGA Champ), Seaside Course (RSM Classic), Corrales CC (Punta Cana alternate field event), Shadow Creek (Tom Fazio design that hosted the 2020 CJ Cup), PGA National (Honda Classic), Quail Hollow (Wells Fargo Champ)
• Top Course Fit Targets (averaging 1 or more SG: Total per round on the above): Tyrrell Hatton, Tommy Fleetwood, Lucas Glover, Sungjae Im, Keith Mitchell, Ian Poulter, Jhonattan Vegas, Brooks Koepka, Matthew NeSmith, Luke List

Course and Weather Notes: Whew… this field is a DJ and Brooks WD away from being a weak Korn Ferry Tour event… nevertheless, this track is LONG with 6 Par 4s 450 yards or longer, including 3 over 500 yards, a par 5 measuring 645 yards and a lot of unknowns… I think most people will read the same 2-3 articles that everyone else does and form their opinion that way but I don’t think anyone truly knows how it’s going to play, what the winning score is, etc etc so my perception is that with no rough the fairways will be baked out and the ball going forever; therefore, I don’t really downgrade the shorter hitters but will still strongly look at guys who excel on longer Par 4s, approach shots from 175+ and strong Bermuda putters… thank god the US Open is next week because this field is something else.

DRAFTKINGS

Key Stats – Last 8, 12, 24, and 50 Rounds (courtesy of FantasyNational.com)

In order of importance:

• SG: T2G
• SG: APP (emphasis on 175+ yards)
• BoB Gained
• SG: OTT (emphasis on DD)
• Scrambling
• SG: Par 4s 450+
• SG: Putting (emphasis on Bermuda)

Salary Ranges: Plays, Fades, Pivots, Ownership

The players listed below are not my only plays I like but some of the highlights and those I find intriguing for one reason or another.

9K and Above:

Plays

1) Tyrrell Hatton ($10,200) → Projected Ownership: 25%

→ Key Stat Ranks (blue indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G – 2^nd
• SG: APP (emphasis on 175+ yards) – 4^th
• BoB Gained – 13^th
• SG: OTT (emphasis on DD) – 18^th
• Scrambling – 8^th
• SG: Par 4s 450+ – 8^th
• SG: Putting (emphasis on Bermuda) – 56^th

→ Recent Form (blue indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last Start – 38^th

Last 3 Starts – 38^th // 8^th // 39^th

Last 6 Starts (or max) – 38^th // 8^th // 39^th // 18^th // 56^th

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

6^th

Notes: Hatton should end up as the most popular on the slate, most likely by a wide margin, but he’s tough to avoid at a $1000+ discount from Brooks/DJ, his stats are elite, and I like that he’s played well on desert-type courses on the Euro Tour (from the limited reading I’ve done on this course, it is set up like an Australian sand belt course); we don’t know how this course will play, but Hatton can grind it out in tougher conditions but can also excel in birdie fests which makes him a core play in all formats

2) Ian Poulter ($9,200) → Projected Ownership: 14%

→ Key Stat Ranks (blue indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G – 23^rd
• SG: APP (emphasis on 175+ yards) – 56^th
• BoB Gained – 8^th
• SG: OTT (emphasis on DD) – 108^th
• Scrambling – 11^th
• SG: Par 4s 450+ – 20^th
• SG: Putting (emphasis on Bermuda) – 3^rd

→ Recent Form (blue indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last Start – 3^rd

Last 3 Starts – 3^rd // 30^th // MC

Last 6 Starts (or max) – 3^rd // 30^th // MC // 21^st // 48^th // 26^th

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

3^rd

Notes: I think driving distance could end up mattering more if there is heavy rain to the course the next few days, but overall I don’t think it will be imperative so I love Poulter in what could into a Bermuda putting birdie fest (his best surface), and although his APP game has been hit or miss the last several weeks, he’s gained strokes T2G in his last 4, has been on fire with the putter, and could go under owned since he’s not a “bomber”

Fades

1) Brooks Koepka ($11,100) → Projected Ownership: 20%

→ Key Stat Ranks (blue indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G – 1^st
• SG: APP (emphasis on 175+ yards) – 2^nd
• BoB Gained – 6^th
• SG: OTT (emphasis on DD) – 7^th
• Scrambling – 99^th
• SG: Par 4s 450+ – 12^th
• SG: Putting (emphasis on Bermuda) – 10^th

→ Recent Form (blue indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last Start – 2^nd  

Last 3 Starts – 2^nd

Last 6 Starts (or max) – 2^nd // MC // MC

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

8^th

Notes: Probably one of the most important rules of being a “tout” or writing about fantasy sports is to put aside biases because it can cost you money/change your opinion at a macro level… this is one case where I don’t care because I hate Brooks, I don’t think he really cares about this tournament (like he brags about any non-major), and although his stats look good above, it is important to note that due to his injury he’s played much less than others so they’re skewed towards his most recent 2^nd place at the PGA Champ more than usual… my bias aside, Brooks isn’t a bad play but if he’s going to be 20% owned or close to it, I would rather play DJ who could also not care but at least I’ve seen DJ dust bad fields before a major in the past

2) Patton Kizzire ($9,100) → Projected Ownership: 14%

→ Key Stat Ranks (blue indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G – 36^th
• SG: APP (emphasis on 175+ yards) – 3^rd
• BoB Gained – 1^st
• SG: OTT (emphasis on DD) – 90^th
• Scrambling – 92^nd
• SG: Par 4s 450+ – 135^th
• SG: Putting (emphasis on Bermuda) – 2^nd

→ Recent Form (blue indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last Start – MC

Last 3 Starts – MC // 3^rd // 3^rd

Last 6 Starts (or max) – MC // 3^rd // 3^rd // 58^th // 60^th // MC

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

88^th

Notes: I don’t hate Kizzire this week but similar to why I faded him last week, his putting (especially on Bermuda) is very strong, but his OTT game continues to be bad and his T2G has been super volatile as in his last 8 tournaments he’s gained over 4 strokes T2G 3 times and lost strokes T2G 5 times with 4 of those tourneys being 4 or more strokes lost… his wild off the tee game won’t hurt as bad here with no rough but I’ll avoid the ownership and hope his putter doesn’t stay on fire for the 10^th time in a row

Favorite Pivot – None this week in this range… bad field and although I plan on having DJ in 1-2 of my 5 lineups, he’s hardly a “pivot”

Mid-Tier Options (7.0K to 8.9K):

Plays

1) Keith Mitchell ($8,800) → Projected Ownership: 13%

→ Key Stat Ranks (blue indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G – 12^th
• SG: APP (emphasis on 175+ yards) – 29^th
• BoB Gained – 2^nd
• SG: OTT (emphasis on DD) – 5^th
• Scrambling – 143^rd
• SG: Par 4s 450+ – 3^rd
• SG: Putting (emphasis on Bermuda) – 110^th

→ Recent Form (blue indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last Start – MC

Last 3 Starts – MC // 26^th // 3^rd

Last 6 Starts (or max) – MC // 26^th // 3^rd // 69^th // 4^th // 17^th

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

3^rd

Notes: Keith has been playing solid golf lately (except for his last start when I played him and he MC) and should be nice and pissed off after missing a playoff to auto-qualify for the US Open yesterday by 1 shot… crushes the ball, great T2G, can get HOT with the birdies, and if he can limit the errors around the green, this is a great course fit for the 2^nd win of his career

2) Luke List ($7,900) → Projected Ownership: 13%

→ Key Stat Ranks (blue indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G – 3^rd
• SG: APP (emphasis on 175+ yards) – 32^nd
• BoB Gained – 52^nd
• SG: OTT (emphasis on DD) – 2^nd
• Scrambling – 89^th
• SG: Par 4s 450+ – 2^nd
• SG: Putting (emphasis on Bermuda) – 142^nd

→ Recent Form (blue indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last Start – MC

Last 3 Starts – MC // MC // 61^st

Last 6 Starts (or max) – MC // MC // 61^st // 6^th // MC // MC

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

1^st

Notes: You know the story on Luke List… he’s gained strokes T2G in 8 straight events, he’s gained strokes OTT in 9 straight events, he’s gained on APP in 5 of his last 6, and has lost 3 or more strokes putting in 6 of his last 8 events… ranks 1^st in course fit so I’ll hope he can get a decent putter ONE TIME

3) Ben Martin ($7,600) → Projected Ownership: 12%

→ Key Stat Ranks (blue indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G – 14^th
• SG: APP (emphasis on 175+ yards) – 22^nd
• BoB Gained – 60^th
• SG: OTT (emphasis on DD) – 27^th
• Scrambling – 2^nd
• SG: Par 4s 450+ – 4^th
• SG: Putting (emphasis on Bermuda) – 34^th

→ Recent Form (blue indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last Start – 26^th

Last 3 Starts – 26^th // 11^th // MC

Last 6 Starts (or max) – 26^th // 11^th // MC // MC // 34^th // 9^th  

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

16^th

Notes: Martin has gained on APP in his last 4 starts, gained OTT in those 4, and gained T2G in 3 of those 4 (the one outlier he only lost 0.2 T2G) and has played the Corales multiple times with a T9 a few months ago…. Martin is still a relatively new TOUR regular from the Korn Ferry but I like his game and like his form, as he’s finished T26/T11/T9 in 3 of his last 5, 2 of which are course comps (Quail/Corales)

Fades

1) Alex Noren ($8,900) → Projected Ownership: 19%

→ Key Stat Ranks (blue indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G – 7^th
• SG: APP (emphasis on 175+ yards) – 52^nd
• BoB Gained – 36^th
• SG: OTT (emphasis on DD) – 21^st
• Scrambling – 5^th
• SG: Par 4s 450+ – 29^th
• SG: Putting (emphasis on Bermuda) – 13^th

→ Recent Form (blue indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last Start – 13^th

Last 3 Starts – 13^th // 55^th // 21^st  

Last 6 Starts (or max) – 13^th // 55^th // 21^st // 21^st // 21^st // 25^th

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

99^th

Notes: Noren is in strong form and my fade is mostly due his volatile approach game, as he’s gained strokes on APP in 4 of 12 events in 2021, finishing T25 or better in 3 of those… however the other 8 he has to rely HEAVILY on chipping/putting and in a potential birdie fest I would rather have more consistency in the iron game… further, given he’s a somewhat well-known name in a garbage field, I think that will inflate his ownership

2) Kevin Kisner ($8,700) → Projected Ownership: 8%

→ Key Stat Ranks (blue indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G – 89^th
• SG: APP (emphasis on 175+ yards) – 127^th
• BoB Gained – 86^th
• SG: OTT (emphasis on DD) – 59^th
• Scrambling – 31^st
• SG: Par 4s 450+ – 78^th
• SG: Putting (emphasis on Bermuda) – 24^th

→ Recent Form (blue indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last Start – 40^th

Last 3 Starts – 40^th // MC // MC

Last 6 Starts (or max) – 40^th // MC // MC // MC // MC // MC

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

18^th

Notes: Similar to Noren, I have no interest in Kisner because his form/stats are god awful on top of being a known (and well-liked) player in a bad field that could lead to higher than expected ownership… Kisner doesn’t rate out well on these long tracks, his long-game has been gone for the last few months and if he doesn’t putt the lights out, he could really struggle…

Favorite Pivot

1) Pat Perez ($7,700) → Projected Ownership: 7%

→ Key Stat Ranks (blue indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G – 15^th
• SG: APP (emphasis on 175+ yards) – 26^th
• BoB Gained – 11^th
• SG: OTT (emphasis on DD) – 100^th
• Scrambling – 33^rd
• SG: Par 4s 450+ – 77^th
• SG: Putting (emphasis on Bermuda) – 32^nd

→ Recent Form (blue indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last Start – 45^th

Last 3 Starts – 45^th // 39^th // 26^th

Last 6 Starts (or max) – 45^th // 39^th // 26^th // 29^th // 21^st // MC

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

12^th

Notes: Been a while since I’ve rostered the wagon that is Pat Perez, but he’s a great Bermuda putter, has gained strokes on APP in his last 4 tournaments, and should make a great pivot off who I perceive to be chalky in Luke List/Whaley/Martin/Varner/Glover in that range; strong course fit, best putting surface, and should be able to handle whether the courses plays “tougher” or is a birdie fest

OTHERS I LIKE: Brandt Snedeker // Vince Whaley // Seamus Power // Joseph Bramlett // Roger Sloan // Scott Stallings

Low Tier Options (Under 7K):

Punt Quick Hits

1) Tyler McCumber ($6,800) → Projected Ownership: 3%

Quick Hits: The sub 7k range is nothing short of a flaming dump this week but McCumber won’t be owned, has gained on APP in 3 of his last 4, finished T18 at the Corales Puntacana (comp course) and ranks Top 50 in T2G/SG: APP/SG: OTT/P4 Scoring 450+ so I’ll take a dart

2) Chase Seiffert ($6,500) → Projected Ownership: 3%

Quick Hits: Seiffert isn’t a “stud” by any means, but I’ve played him at 6500, or around it, in much stronger field events and while things can go really south, he does rank 49^th in SG: APP, 48^th in P4 scoring 450+, and 27^th in SG: Putting on Bermuda… his T2G and OTT game has really struggled recently but he has gained on APP in 3 of his last 4 and finished T20 at Corales and T3 at Honda (2 comp courses)

3) Sean O’Hair ($6,400) → Projected Ownership: 1%

Quick Hits: This is a serious dart throw but O’Hair will be 1% owned, has gained on APP in his last 2 events (including at Quail Hollow at the Wells Fargo Champ), and he ranks 6^th in the field in Scrambling

Cash Game Options

1) Matt Fitzpatrick

2) Tyrrell Hatton

3) Harris English

4) Sungjae Im

5) Ian Poulter

6)  Keith Mitchell

7) Brandt Snedeker

8) Luke List

9) Vince Whaley

10) Ben Martin

11) Joseph Bramlett

12) Roger Sloan

My DK Power Ranks – Generated using 25% Key Stats, 40% Recent Form, 5% DK Points Last 5 Events, 5% of my calculated odds for them to win, 15% of their Top 20 Odds, and 10% Course Fit

1. Brooks Koepka
2. Ian Poulter
3. Matt Fitzpatrick
4. Harold Varner III
5. Keith Mitchell
6. Tyrrell Hatton
7. Tommy Fleetwood
8. Lucas Glover
9. Alex Noren
10. Patton Kizzire
11. Harris English
12. Sungjae Im
13. Jhonattan Vegas
14. Luke List
15. Vince Whaley
16. Ben Martin
17. Brandt Snedeker
18. Scott Stallings
19. C.T. Pan
20. Seamus Power

Betting/One and Done

Value Bets:

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