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Course: Sedgefield CC
Fast Facts
- Par 70 approx. 7127 yards; Donald Ross design
- Bermuda Greens (11-12 on the stimp; average); 6500 sq. ft. greens on average (LARGE)
- Field: 156 players; Top 65 and Ties make the cut
- Easy to hit fairways and higher GIR rate than TOUR average (71% here compared to 65% AVG)
- 48 bunkers, 13 water hazards
- Birdie fest with non-penal rough and easy ARG game
- Average winning score around -20 with average cut around -2 to -3
- Corollary Courses: East Lake (TOUR Championship), PGA National (Honda Classic), Sea Island Resort (RSM Classic), TPC Southwind (FedEx St. Jude/WGC), Waialae CC (Sony Open)
- Course Fit Targets: Webb Simpson, Justin Rose, Jim Furyk, Chez Reavie, Sergio Garcia, Charles Howell III, Brooks Koepka, Kevin Kisner, Tommy Fleetwood, Billy Horschel
Course and Weather Notes: This is one of my very favorite courses on TOUR and a rare one that I don’t mind it being a birdie fest as (sorry I’m a loser) but Donald Ross is my favorite course designer and my favorite courses to play and watch the pros play; Par 70, short, rough that isn’t thick, fairways easy to hit, and greens easy to hit means you have to lock in those mid-range irons/wedges from 125-175 and putt your ass off… seems simple? This course basically runs through Webb as you’ll hear all week that he lives here, named is daughter Wyndham and looking at his track record he’s done OK here I’d say with the following being his course history: 2nd/2nd/3rd/72nd/6th/5th/11th/22nd/1st/8th… whoa; I don’t see much of any problematic weather as of this writing (Tuesday morning) but always check back as late as possible on Wednesday for any potential weather advantage… the last thing I’ll say is that although it’s mostly a narrative, with this being the last week for guys to qualify for the FedEx Cup playoffs (starts next week), maybe take some shots on guys who need to play well, i.e. Sergio or Charl but don’t let it drive the process but rather use it as a tiebreaker..
Key Stats – Last 8, 12, 24, and 50 Rounds (courtesy of FantasyNational.com)
In order of importance:
- SG: T2G
- SG: APP (emphasis on 125-175)
- BoB Gained
- SG: Putting (Bermuda emphasis)
- Opportunities Gained
- SG: Par 4s 400-450 (7 of them here)
SuperDraft Ranks and Thoughts
Both DFSKarma and myself have been getting more and more exposure and interest to SuperDraft and I wanted to begin to give some thoughts and ranks for those contests as they do things a little bit differently and although I’m still new and learning I think there is a definite edge to be had with less sharks, no salary cap to worry about, and a different roster construction compared to FanDuel and DraftKings. Below I will post how scoring is done and my favorite 15 guys to build in a 6-person lineup. There are no salaries so if you wanted to take the top 6 ranked players in the world, you can do that if you please (doesn’t seem like a +EV strategy). As you’ll note, the lower quality player, the higher the multiplier they get for fantasy points and the top dogs, such as DJ/Fleetwood/Brooks, etc won’t get nearly the same bonuses but can be expected to outperform the lower tier guys.
In a week where the field is considerably weaker than last week’s major, I think it’s a tremendous opportunity to take some shots on these guys with high multipliers as longer shots have great chances at a win or T10 or better upside… Henley is a guy who I think can win if he turns around the putter as he’s been a stud T2G and on APP and has an incredible 1.4 multiplier… Vegas is super hot and cold but when he gets hot, he makes a ton of birdies and the same goes for Ryder, Cam Davis, Sam Burns, and Adam Long. Webb seems like someone I would play in a single entry, double up, or as just a safe piece in a lineup as his track record is insane… Ryan Armour won’t be owned and if he can find the putter could find himself in the T15 or better this week and same goes for Kizzire… but Patton is a pure punt play as his form is far from superb… good luck this week!
Below is my table of 15 guys I’m interested in and sign up for core plays to see my SD core for the week!