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Course: TPC Harding Park
Fast Facts
- Par 70 approx. 7234 yards
- Bentgrass Greens (11-12 on the stimp; average); 7000 sq. ft. greens on average (LARGE)
- Field: 156 players; Top 65 and Ties make the cut
- Narrow fairways; 25-30 yards on average
- Thick rough up to 3-4 inches
- Hosted 2015 WGC Match Play, 2009 President’s Cup, 2005 WGC
- Corollary Courses: Olympic Club, Torrey Pines, TPC Potomac, Colonial, Riviera, Bethpage Black
- Course Fit Targets: Bubba Watson, Adam Scott, Dustin Johnson, Tony Finau, Justin Rose, Hideki Matsuyama, Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth, Sergio Garcia
Course and Weather Notes: Always fun getting a new course in the major rotation as it helps to level the playing field with no course history and everyone in the same boat with trying to guess how the conditions will be and how tough it’s going to play. In my opinion, I think we get a similar type winner to last week with around -10 to -12 and although it should play harder than traditional PGA Championships, there are still birdies out there with 2-3 short par 4s, 2 Par 5s, and then the rest of the Par 4s and Par 3s extremely difficult. While I think that there will be unknowns all week and a lot of narratives created around guys from California, guys who are good in majors (i.e. Brooks and Xander), and how thick or not thick the rough is going to be, I definitely will be putting a greater emphasis on guys who can hit fairways, guys who are good around the greens (not because the greens are small but because out of the rough you might have to get up and down from 20-25 yards after a hack), and guys who excel on long approaches (over 200 yards) with longer par 5s and 7 Par 4s over 450 yards.
Key Stats – Last 8, 12, 24, and 50 Rounds (courtesy of FantasyNational.com)
In order of importance:
- SG: T2G
- SG: APP (emphasis on 200+)
- BoB Gained
- Fairways Gained
- Par 4s Gained 450-500 yards
- SG: Putting (Bent emphasis)
- SG: Around the Green
- Driving Distance Gained
SuperDraft Ranks and Thoughts
Both DFSKarma and myself have been getting more and more exposure and interest to SuperDraft and I wanted to begin to give some thoughts and ranks for those contests as they do things a little bit differently and although I’m still new and learning I think there is a definite edge to be had with less sharks, no salary cap to worry about, and a different roster construction compared to FanDuel and DraftKings. Below I will post how scoring is done and my favorite 15 guys to build in a 6-person lineup. There are no salaries so if you wanted to take the top 6 ranked players in the world, you can do that if you please (doesn’t seem like a +EV strategy). As you’ll note, the lower quality player, the higher the multiplier they get for fantasy points and the top dogs, such as DJ/Fleetwood/Brooks, etc won’t get nearly the same bonuses but can be expected to outperform the lower tier guys.
My strategy for this week is to focus more on players with some consistency, both recent and long term, and mix in maybe a flier or two in each lineup. Interesting multipliers given this week as some guys who are very cheap/I expect to be low owned on DK or FD are kind of priced up in multipliers as guys like Ryan Palmer/Harris English I like quite a bit but we’re only getting 1.10/1.15 on those two, respectively. Below are the ranks but some highlights that I like a lot are Jason Day who I think is live to win, Chez Reavie who should be chalk but has a great multiplier, Henley, Spieth, and Rickie Fowler. Rickie having the same multiplier as English and higher than Palmer is definitely interesting… any top studs not on here are viable but I can’t list all the favorites. The last thing I would consider is that the PGA Professionals in the field may have super high multipliers but I don’t expect any except maybe 1 random to make the cut so you can cross off most of them along the bottom tier.
Below is my table of 15 guys I’m interested in and sign up for core plays to see my SD core for the week!