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Course: Olympia Fields (North Course)
Fast Facts
- Par 70 approx. 7366 yards
- Bentgrass Greens (12+ on the stimp; FAST); 5800 sq. ft. greens on average (TOUR average)
- Field: 70 players; No cut
- Former tournaments hosted: 2003 US Open (won by Furyk); 2015 US Am. (won by Bryson)
- green size approx. 5000 sq. ft. (SMALL); bentgrass greens (with mix of Poa)
- Links style
- Corollary Courses: Glen Oaks, Ridgewood, Colonial, Firestone, TPC Harding Park, Old White TPC, Aronimink CC
- Course Fit Targets: Tony Finau, Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson, Tiger Woods, Kevin Na, Jason Day, Justin Thomas, Hideki Matsuyama
Course and Weather Notes: A bit of an unknown this week which will lead to people following the same narratives from people with “course knowledge” or many different tout websites preaching the same thing… a few things I’ve heard and mostly agree with is that it will not play as difficult as the US Am. Or a US Open as the set ups for FedEx are meant for birdies… the 2nd is how long it is which I think definitely has me favoring the bombers with 7 Par 4s over 450 yards and both Par 5s around or longer than 600 yards. I don’t see anywhere near the winning score by DJ last week (incredible by the way) or numerous guys finishing -20 or better, but the birdies will still be out there. The last thing is that I would definitely put some emphasis on Scrambling as these greens are much smaller and if the rumors I’ve seen of thick rough are true, guys will need to save par certainly more often than at TPC Boston.
Key Stats – Last 8, 12, 24, and 50 Rounds (courtesy of FantasyNational.com)
In order of importance:
- SG: T2G
- SG: APP (emphasis on 175+)
- BoB Gained
- SG: OTT
- SG: Around the Green/Scrambling
- SG: Putting (Bentgrass emphasis)
SuperDraft Ranks and Thoughts
Both DFSKarma and myself have been getting more and more exposure and interest to SuperDraft and I wanted to begin to give some thoughts and ranks for those contests as they do things a little bit differently and although I’m still new and learning I think there is a definite edge to be had with less sharks, no salary cap to worry about, and a different roster construction compared to FanDuel and DraftKings. Below I will post how scoring is done and my favorite 15 guys to build in a 6-person lineup. There are no salaries so if you wanted to take the top 6 ranked players in the world, you can do that if you please (doesn’t seem like a +EV strategy). As you’ll note, the lower quality player, the higher the multiplier they get for fantasy points and the top dogs, such as DJ/Fleetwood/Brooks, etc won’t get nearly the same bonuses but can be expected to outperform the lower tier guys.
First bad week since we started digging into SuperDraft several weeks ago as a couple of the guys I highlighted had bad Friday rounds to MC such as Ancer, Burns, and Day while a couple guys I loved also were very blah, such as Wolff, Tiger, and Rickie. We did capture some low owned super high upside guys in Kokrak, Steele, Palmer, and English but with another loaded field this week, I expect a lot of birdies but certainly not to the extent of last week in TPC Boston. Despite being heavy chalk that I may fade on DraftKings and FanDuel, English still has an elite multiplier, along with Berger, as English has been on quite a run and Berger has been on an insane run of Top 10 finishes since the restart. My favorite value guys are Dahmen/Steele while I also think that some lesser known names such as Hubbard and maybe even Streelman can differentiate your lineups. I think, similar to last week, you don’t want to shy away from the guys with only a 1x multiplier as we saw with DJ, when you scorch the course and win by 11… it doesn’t matter the multiplier.
Below is my table of 15 guys I’m interested in and sign up for core plays to see my SD core for the week!
