It was another mixed bag for my PGA Tour Top DFS Plays.
My 10K recommendation crashed and burned on the South Course at Torrey Pines. Colin Morikawa made double-bogey on his 17th hole before making a birdie on the 18th to miss the cut by one stroke.
But Matthieu Pavon and Tony Finau made my picks looked stellar. Finau made a run but fell to a T6 finish, while Pavon became the first Frenchman to win on the PGA Tour.
This week is going to be test for some at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
Some of the top golfers have never played at Pebble Beach, and the weather could be factor determining our champion.
Pebble Beach Golf Links (par 72, 6,972 yards) and Spyglass Hill Golf Course (par 72, 7,041 yards) are two of the shorter courses on the Tour. But their Pacific Ocean coastline features make them vulnerable to the elements.
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Onto PGA Tour Top DFS Plays for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am:
10K and Above
Xander Schauffele ($10,000)
The no-cut event format is going to make it tough for the 10K golfers pay off their prices.
I’ll stick with the cheapest and the lower rostered of the four in Schauffele.
Rory McIlroy ($11,500), Scottie Scheffler ($11,400) and Victor Hovland ($10,200) are all expected to be rostered on 25 percent of the lineups.
Schauffele is around 20 percent rostered. Plus, he’s ranked in the Top 30 in 8 of 11 categories on my spreadsheet this week. He is also the top value of the 10K golfers on our projection portal.
9K and Above
Jordan Spieth ($9,400)
I tend to stay away from Spieth in DFS. His unpredictability makes him hard to play week in and week out.
However, he’s guaranteed four rounds on a course he knows well. He won the 2017 event.
He has the right attributes to win again. He’s currently putting well and his short game around the green is one of the Tour’s best.
8K and Above
Nicolai Hojgaard ($8,100)
Hojgaard almost pulled off the win last week at the Farmers Insurance Open in his first event as PGA Tour member.
He fell a shot short to Pavon, but his game was nothing short of spectacular.
He enters the Pebble Beach Pro-Am in the Top 30 of eight statistical categories for the event.
His only weakness is his accuracy off the tee and his unfamiliarity of the courses.
7K and Above
J.T. Poston ($7,900)
I’m playing a lot Poston in my 10 lineups this week because he is completely mispriced.
He has played three events already this season and his worst finish was 11th.
He’s solid around the greens, deadly with the putter and is ranked 11th on Tour in greens in regulation. His only weakness is his approach game which is JUST above average.
Punt Plays
Brandon Wu ($6,200) is another golfer I believe who is mispriced. Wu missed the cut right on the number at the American Express, but he is a course horse this week. He finished T2 last year in the event in some tough weather conditions. Other 6K golfers who I like this week are Andrew Putnam ($6,800), Emiliano Grillo ($6,800), Taylor Montgomery ($6,800), Adam Schenk ($6,700) and Lucas Glover ($6,500).
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