The PGA Tour just got a little crazier and it’s only three weeks into season!
Amateur Nick Dunlap, a University of Alabama sophomore, shocked the pros at The American Express with a 1-stroke victory last weekend.
It marked the first time an amateur had won an event since Phil Mickelson did in 1991.
Dunlap had planned on playing this week’s Farmers Insurance Open, but withdrew on Monday.
The Farmers Insurance Open is played on the famous Torrey Pines Golf Course in San Diego.
The event will be played on the North (par-72, 7,258 yards) and South (par-72, 7,765 yards) courses, while the South course will host the final two rounds on Friday and Saturday. The event starts on Wednesday to avoid the NFL Conference Championship games on Sunday.
I believe accuracy will play a big role this week after the area received rains on Monday. My friend, Matt Vanhorn, recently played the courses a couple of weeks ago and he said the rough is no joke!
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Onto PGA Tour DFS Plays for the Farmers Insurance Open:
10K & Above
Colin Morikawa ($10,200)
Again we come into a tournament with four golfers priced at $10K or above, and all are fine plays.
However, I’m going with Morikawa with his elite approach game.
Plus, I believe accuracy off the tee will be more important than the bomber approach as the area has been inundated with rain on Monday.
Morikawa’s only weakness is the putter, but he has good course history at Torrey Pines, finishing third in 2023.
According our projection portal, Xander Schauffele ($10,600) is expected to be the lowest rostered 10K golfer.
9K & Above
Tony Finau ($9,300)
Finau came in under the radar with his T25 at The American Express last week as his approach game has been lacking.
He finished last season fifth in SG: approach on Tour, but has struggled early. He’s currently 116th in SG: approach on the new season.
However, Finau has averaged 9 under and an averaged finish of fifth in his last five Farmers Insurance Open.
8K & Above
Justin Rose ($8,300)
Rose is ranked in the Top 10 on my spreadsheet this week and won the Farmers in 2019.
He is another course horse, like Finau. Rose has averaged 8 under and a Top-10 finish in his last four visits to Torrey Pines.
He is Top 20 for this event in SG: approach, SG: around the green, SG: putting and SG: approach of 150-175 yards.
7K & Above
Matthieu Pavon ($7,100)
The Frenchman has two Top 40 finishes in his first two events as a PGA Tour professional.
His elite approach play and putting should keep him near the top of the leaderboard despite his lack of course experience.
He’s a Top 31 golfer in six of the statistical categories I used for this week’s event.
Punt Plays
Doug Ghim ($6,800) leads a small group of $6K golfers to reach the Top 25 on my spreadsheet. He is joined by Ryan Moore ($6,600), Nick Lashley ($6,500) and Chandler Phillips ($6,500).
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