All stats from Fantasynational.com!!! Ownership projections also provided by FantasyNational as well as data and trends from Fansharesports.com! Follow @fantasynational @fansharesports @sscherman on Twitter!

Sign up for the BEST STATS DATABASE for DFS Golf at fantasynational.com/dfskarma

Course: Detroit Golf Club, Detroit, MI

Fast Facts

• Par 72, 7300-7400 yards
• Average Cut: -3
• Field: 156 players with Top 65 and ties making the cut
• Corollary Courses:
  • East Lake
  • Sedgefield CC
  • Silverado Resort & Spa
  • TPC Deere Run
  • TPC River Highlands
  • TPC Twin Cities
• Top Course Fit Targets: Russell Henley, Webb Simpson, Kevin Streelman, Mark Hubbard, Tony Finau, Scott Stallings, Kevin Kisner, Zach Johnson, Cameron Davis, Ryan Moore

Key Stats – Last 8, 12, 24, and 50 Rounds (courtesy of FantasyNational.com)

In order of importance:

• SG: T2G
• SG: APP (emphasis on 75-150 yards)
• BoB Gained
• SG: OTT
• SG: Par 5s
• Opportunities Gained
• SG: Putting (Bent/0-10 feet emphasis)

Overview – Top 10 in Sam’s Stat Model (Full Field) // Top 10 in middle and lower pricing tiers

Overview – Top 10 DK Values // Top 10 Course History // Top 10 pOWN% (Full Field)

 

Salary Ranges: Plays, Fades, Pivots, Ownership

The players listed below are not my only plays I like but some of the highlights and those I find intriguing for one reason or another.

8.5K and Above (14 players):

Plays

1) Patrick Cantlay ($10,700) → pOWN%: 25%

→ Key Stat Ranks (bold indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G → 20^th
• SG: Approach → 45^th
• BoB Gained → 3^rd
• SG: OTT → 30^th
• SG: Par 5s → 2^nd
• Opportunities Gained → 21^st
• SG: Putting → 20^th

→ Recent Form (bold indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last 5 Starts (or max) – 8^th // 4^th // 13^th // 14^th // 3^rd     

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

Starts: N/A

Wins: 0

Top 5s: 0

Top 10s: 0

Top 20s: 0

Course Fit Rank: 21^st

Notes: Cantlay should come in as one of the highest owned in the field but it checks out given his course fit on these types of tracks as well as his recent form; his last 5 finishes: 8^th // 4^th // 13^th // 14^th // 3^rd to go along with a tremendous bent grass putter (this week is a mix of bent/poa) and ranks 2^nd in the field on Par 5s, 3^rd BoB, 4^th GIRs Gained, and a historically strong putter from 0-10 feet… class of the field and an elite play even at the pOWN%

2) Davis Riley ($8,600) → pOWN%: 15%

→ Key Stat Ranks (bold indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G → 10^th
• SG: Approach → 28^th
• BoB Gained → 55^th
• SG: OTT → 16^th
• SG: Par 5s → 98^th
• Opportunities Gained → 16^th
• SG: Putting → 101^st

→ Recent Form (bold indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last 5 Starts (or max) – MC // 64^th // 31^st // 13^th // 4^th   

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

Starts: N/A

Wins: 0

Top 5s: 0

Top 10s: 0

Top 20s: 0

Course Fit Rank: 52^nd

Notes: Killed me (and nearly 30% of most GPPs) last week but I’ll go back at hopefully lower ownership than week’s past… 10^th in the field T2G, 16^th SG: OTT, 16^th Opportunities Gained, and 10^th on Par 4s under 400 yards (4 of them here); he’s struggled with the putter the last 2 events but before the Travelers had been a consistently above-average putter from 0-10 feet to go along with a strong wedge prowess

Favorite Low(er) Owned Pivot

1) Cam Davis ($9,700) → pOWN%: 16%

• SG: T2G → 7^th
• SG: Approach → 4^th
• BoB Gained → 4^th
• SG: OTT → 9^th
• SG: Par 5s → 13^th
• Opportunities Gained → 2^nd
• SG: Putting → 45^th

→ Recent Form (bold indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last 5 Starts (or max) – 16^th // 6^th // 8^th // 56^th // 53^rd   

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

Starts: 3 – 1^st // MC // MC   

Wins: 1

Top 5s: 1

Top 10s: 1

Top 20s: 1

Course Fit Rank: 9^th

Notes: Continuing his strong form, Davis finished T16 last week and has now made his last 6 cuts with a T8/T7/T16 in 3 of those 6; has gained on APP in 8 of his last 9 measured events, has been solid and consistent with the putter and it doesn’t hurt that he won here last year (clearly likes the layout); ranks #1 in my stat model and although he’ll be owned and is hardly a “low owned pivot,” I hope the high price tag keeps it somewhat in check

Highest pOWN% (that are not already listed)

Cameron Young → pOWN%: 25+%

Max Homa → pOWN%: 21%

Tony Finau → pOWN%: 20%

Mid-Tier Options – 7.0K to 8.4K (46 players):

Plays

1) Webb Simpson ($8,300) → pOWN%: 9%

→ Key Stat Ranks (bold indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G → 11^th
• SG: Approach → 31^st
• BoB Gained → 21^st
• SG: OTT → 38^th
• SG: Par 5s → 35^th
• Opportunities Gained → 41^st
• SG: Putting → 73^rd

→ Recent Form (bold indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last 5 Starts (or max) – MC // MC // 13^th // MC // 27^th

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

Starts: 2 – MC // 8^th

Wins: 0

Top 5s: 0

Top 10s: 1

Top 20s: 1

Course Fit Rank: 2^nd

Notes: Strong course fit with a lot of success at East Lake/Sedgefield and while the form isn’t great (3 MCs in last 4), some of the results don’t tell the fully story as a late triple on Friday caused a MC at the Open; however, now at a course that prioritizes strong wedge play and close proximity putting, I think Webb is a value at 8300… we know Webb can get hot with the putter and should be able to excel on the shorter Par 4s on his preferred Donald Ross design track

2) Taylor Pendrith ($7,500) → pOWN%: 10%

→ Key Stat Ranks (bold indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G → 8^th
• SG: Approach → 75^th
• BoB Gained → 26^th
• SG: OTT → 4^th
• SG: Par 5s → 9^th
• Opportunities Gained → 124^th
• SG: Putting → 85^th

→ Recent Form (bold indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last 5 Starts (or max) – 11^th // 13^th

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

Starts: N/A

Wins: 0

Top 5s: 0

Top 10s: 0

Top 20s: 0

Course Fit Rank: 52^nd

Notes: Some of Pendrith’s stats are slightly skewed (both for better and worse) due to his injury, but it’s worth noting he’s top 10 in the field in both SG: T2G and SG: OTT, 9^th on Par 5s, 26^th BoB, and 10^th in GIRs Gained; in his first start back after 3 months off, he finished T13 at the Barbasol and in his limited rounds, he’s shown a propensity for bent grass greens and as one of the longer hitters in the field, he should have a ton of short wedges

3) Greyson Sigg ($7,100) → pOWN%: 5%

→ Key Stat Ranks (bold indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G → 19^th
• SG: Approach → 23^rd
• BoB Gained → 78^th
• SG: OTT → 34^th
• SG: Par 5s → 45^th
• Opportunities Gained → 39^th
• SG: Putting → 49^th

→ Recent Form (bold indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last 5 Starts (or max) – 7^th // 26^th // 27^th // 16^th // MC

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

Starts: N/A

Wins: 0

Top 5s: 0

Top 10s: 0

Top 20s: 0

Course Fit Rank: 34^th  

Notes: No glaring weaknesses in his game right now as he’s rattled off finishes of T16/T27/T7 while gaining strokes on APP in all 3 of those events and gaining strokes T2G/OTT in his last 5 events; Top 25 in the field T2G, APP, GIRs Gained and while the putter can be a hindrance on him, at only 7100 he gives us huge value if he finds a hot flat stick and this layout should be conducive to his strong ball-striking

Favorite Low(er) Owned Pivot

1) Trey Mullinax ($7,000) → pOWN%: 4%

→ Key Stat Ranks (bold indicates Top 25 rank in the field)

• SG: T2G → 42^nd
• SG: Approach → 44^th
• BoB Gained → 6^th
• SG: OTT → 13^th
• SG: Par 5s → 46^th
• Opportunities Gained → 8^th
• SG: Putting → 79^th

→ Recent Form (bold indicates Top 10 or better finish)

Last 5 Starts (or max) – 21^st // 1^st // MC // MC // 69^th    

→ Course Fit/Course History (Course Fit is calculated by a player’s SG: Total on similar courses, listed under “Fast Facts” above over their Last 50 or maximum rounds)

Starts: 1 – MC

Wins: 0

Top 5s: 0

Top 10s: 0

Top 20s: 0

Course Fit Rank: 114^th

Notes: Picked up his first win a few weeks ago and has continued his decent form (at least stats-wise) as he’s 21^st in the field in SG: Ball-Striking, 13^th SG: OTT, 6^th BoB, 8^th Opportunities Gained, and should have a decent advantage with his driving distance; the field is stronger than last week, but still weakish overall, so I think Mullinax has solid T20 or better upside at only 7000 and most likely <5% owned

Highest pOWN% (that are not already listed)

Chris Kirk → pOWN%: 17%

Joohyung Kim → pOWN%: 15%

Chris Gotterup → pOWN%: 14%

OTHERS I LIKE: Mark Hubbard // Scott Stallings // Nick Hardy // Alex Smalley // Chris Gotterup

Low Tier Options – Under 7K (92 players):

Punt Quick Hits

1) Hayden Buckley ($6,900) → pOWN%: 3%

Quick Hits: Decent showing last week but the putter killed him multiple days (as it normally does); 18^th in the field T2G, 32^nd SG: APP, 7^th SG: OTT, 12^th Opps. Gained, and 23^rd GIRs Gained… has made his last 5 cuts in a row, has gained OTT in 10 straight events, gained on APP in 5 straight, and if he can be even average with the putter has high made cut equity + scoring upside

2) Kelly Kraft ($6,700) → pOWN%: 1%

Quick Hits: Not sure I’ve ever played Kelly Kraft before but the stats have been quietly solid the last several events: gained on APP in 4 of his last 5, gained T2G in 3 of his last 5, and while it’s volatile, he’s shown the ability to have spike putting weeks (where he finished T24/T11; at 2 comp courses); Kraft ranks 16^th in the field on Par 4s <400 yards as well as 15^th in SG: Putting (Bent/0-10 feet)

3) Peter Malnati ($6,600) → pOWN%: 3%

Quick Hits: A very good putter, Malnati comes in with decent form making his last 3 cuts that includes a T30 at TPC Deere Run and T11 at TPC Twin Cities (both comp courses)… his OTT game is very below average; however, that is due mostly to distance as he hits a lot of fairways and his lack of distance shouldn’t hurt him here… 18^th in the field BoB, 30^th on Par 4s <400 yards, and 38^th in SG: Putting (bent/0-10 feet emphasis)

Cash Game Options

1) Patrick Cantlay

2) Cam Davis

3) Webb Simpson

4) Russell Henley

5) Mark Hubbard

6) Joohyung Kim

7) Troy Merritt

8) Chris Gotterup

9) Greyson Sigg

10) Callum Tarren

 

My DK Power Ranks – Generated using 30% Key Stats, 35% Recent Form, 5% DK Points Last 5 Events, 5% of my calculated odds for them to win, 5% of their Top 20 Odds, 10% Course History, & 10% of my course comp model ranking

1. Cam Davis
2. Tony Finau
3. Will Zalatoris
4. Scott Stallings
5. Patrick Cantlay
6. Kevin Streelman
7. Maverick McNealy
8. Max Homa
9. Keegan Bradley
10. Brendan Steele
11. Sahith Theegala
12. Adam Svensson
13. Davis Riley
14. Adam Hadwin
15. Mark Hubbard
16. Cameron Young
17. Denny McCarthy
18. Webb Simpson
19. Chris Kirk
20. Cameron Tringale