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QB/RB/WR Stack
Dak Prescott/Ezekiel Elliott/Amari Cooper
The Dallas Cowboys have found plenty of success through two games this season, ranking second in the NFL in total yards (484.0) and fifth in points (33.0) per game. Dallas has scored 30+ points in each of their first two games in 2019. They get an elite matchup against the Miami Dolphins, who rank last in the NFL in total yards (512.0) and points (51.0) allowed per game this season. The Cowboys are currently -21.5 point favorites in a game set at 47.5 points, giving them the highest implied team total on the slate at 34.5 points.
Dak Prescott has looked elite in Kellen Moore’s new offense. He boasts an 82.3% completion percentage, while recording 674 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 1 interception on 62 pass attempts in 2019. He has also added 81 yards on the ground this season. Prescott has flashed tremendous upside and consistency thus far, scoring 28.66 and 36.4 DraftKings (DK) points in his only games this season. Surprisingly, Amari Cooper has been his second favorite target behind Michael Gallup. He could see an uptick in targets, though, as Gallup will miss a few weeks with an injury. Still, through two games, Cooper has posted 10 receptions for 150 yards and 2 touchdowns on 14 targets. He has scored a touchdown in each of his first two games this season, and he now gets a matchup against one of the worst secondaries in the NFL. Cooper is expected to see time against Xavien Howard this weekend, but I still expect him to find plenty of success in this matchup. Ezekiel Elliott only played 54% of the offensive snaps during the first week of the season before increasing that percentage to 76% last week. He wasn’t needed against the New York Giants, recording 63 yards and 1 touchdown on only 14 touches. He saw 25 touches against the Washington Redskins last week, recording 120 yards and 1 touchdown. Elliott looks like he’s in game shape, and Dallas could use him to run out the clock throughout the second half of this game. If you’re looking for cheap upside, Devin Smith makes a great option, as he’s likely to take over for Gallup this weekend.
QB/WR/WR Stack
Jameis Winston/Mike Evans/Chris Godwin
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers passing attack has been one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL early this season. Through two weeks, they are averaging only 181.5 passing yards per game. They have also thrown only two touchdowns to go along with three interceptions. The Bucs get an elite matchup against the New York Giants, though, as the latter ranks third in the NFL in passing yards allowed (321.0) per game. They have also given up five passing touchdowns, while failing to record an interception in 2019. Tampa Bay is a -6.5 point favorite in a game set at 48 points, and they feature an implied team total of 27.3 points this weekend.
Jameis Winston has struggled mightily through two games this season, but I’m not willing to throw in the towel on this offense yet. Overall, he has totaled only 402 passing yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions on 61 pass attempts. Winston flashed tremendous fantasy upside last season, though, and they get an elite matchup against the New York Giants, who feature one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. Through two weeks, Chris Godwin has played 93.3% of Tampa Bay’s offensive snaps, while Mike Evans has played 88.1% of them. The duo ranks first (15) and second (13) on the team in targets by a relatively wide margin. Overall, Godwin has looked elite, recording 11 receptions for 174 yards and 2 touchdowns on 15 targets. He has also been the more consistent option, scoring a touchdown in each of his first two games. Evans, on the other hand, has recorded only 6 receptions for 89 yards on 13 targets. He has the potential to breakout, though, as he has seen 234 air yards in 2019. Evans and Godwin have combined for 57.1% of Tampa Bay’s red zone targets early this season, and they are likely to thrive in this particular matchup. Breshad Perriman is likely to get the best matchup of the Tampa Bay receivers, but he’s better suited for a high upside one-off rather than a part of this particular stack.
QB/WR/TE Stack
Patrick Mahomes/Sammy Watkins/Travis Kelce
As expected, the Kansas City Chiefs feature arguably the best passing offense in the NFL through two weeks this season. They are leading the league in passing yards (405.5) per game, while ranking second with seven passing touchdowns. They also have yet to throw an interception in 2019. With that being said, they get a tough matchup against the Baltimore Ravens, who are allowing only 254.0 passing yards per game this season. They have also given up only one passing touchdown, while recording two interceptions. Still, the Chiefs are currently a -7 point favorite in a game set at 55 points, and they own an implied team total of 31 points.
Patrick Mahomes has picked up right where he left off last season, posting 821 yards and 7 touchdowns on 77 pass attempts. He has scored 35.62 and 30.32 DK points in those games. While he gets somewhat of a tough matchup against Baltimore this weekend, Mahomes is as matchup proof of a fantasy option as there is in the NFL. Sammy Watkins has been enjoying an elite season for Kansas City, recording 15 receptions for 247 yards and 3 touchdowns on 24 targets. He was better in his first game, but saw 13 targets, while playing 92% of the offensive snaps in his first game without Tyreek Hill on the field. It’s clear that Watkins has taken the role of the WR1 is one of the best offenses in the NFL, and his talent has never been a question. As long as he avoids injury, Watkins will continue to make an elite fantasy option. Travis Kelce “struggled” in his first game this season, posting 3 receptions for 88 yards on 8 targets, but he was missed in the red zone a few times. He turned it around last week, recording a 7/107/1 line on 9 targets. Kelce also comes with more upside than he has flashed early on, as he has seen a team-high five red zone targets, but has failed to record a reception in that situation. With Hill out last week, Demarcus Robinson played 91% of the offensive snaps. He turned 6 targets into 6 receptions for 172 yards and 2 touchdowns. He, along with Damien Williams, make a solid fourth option if you’re looking to add to this stack, as well.
High Upside GPP Stack
Lamar Jackson/Mark Ingram/Marquise Brown/Mark Andrews
The Baltimore Ravens could find a bit more ownership this weekend, but I’m riding them for the third consecutive week. They have featured arguably the best overall offense in the NFL through two weeks, leading the league in total yards (541.5) and points (41.0) per game. The Ravens also get a plus matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs, who are allowing 367.5 yards and 18.0 points per game this season. The total yards are more telling than the points, as an elite offense will be able to find the end zone. Surprisingly, Baltimore is a +7 under, although the game is set at 55 points, and they possess an implied team total of 24 points.
Lamar Jackson needed only 20 pass attempts to throw for 324 yards and 5 touchdowns against the Miami Dolphins. The game was out of hand early on, and Jackson had no reason to utilize his legs. That wasn’t the case last week, though, as Jackson rank for 120 yards and 16 attempts. He also threw for 272 yards and 2 touchdowns on 37 attempts against the Arizona Cardinals. Mark Andrews has been relatively unguardable early in the 2019 season, recording 16 receptions for 220 yards and 2 touchdowns on 17 targets. He has also seen a respectable 169 air yards this season. Andrews has been a consistent option through two weeks, scoring 28.2 and 27.8 DK points in his games. Marquise Brown has also been a major part of the passing attack, as he has seen 243 air yards this season. He saw 5 targets in his first NFL game, recording 4 receptions for 147 yards and 2 touchdowns. He was dealing with a foot injury in that game, though, and he only played 14 offensive spans (18% of Baltimore’s offensive snaps). He came into their second game healthy, playing a team-high 51 snaps (65%). He also saw his role increase, posting 8 receptions for 86 yards on 13 targets. Brown should continue to see a large role in the Baltimore offense, especially if they’re playing from behind in this game. Mark Ingram will likely be the lowest owned part of this stack. He has seen only 27 carries through 2 games, recording 158 yards and 2 touchdowns. He has also caught 2 passes for 30 yards. We have yet to see Ingram in his true role, though. He played only 15 snaps against the Dolphins, as he wasn’t needed. He then saw 46 snaps against Cardinals, which was 58% of their offensive snaps. With that being said, he dealt with a back injury in that game, and missed plenty of time on the sidelines. Baltimore has seen 21 red zone carries between Jackson, Ingram, Gus Edwarrds, and Robert Griffin. With this being the first true test of the season for the Ravens, Jackson and Ingram are likely to handle those carries, adding to their upside. The Chiefs big play ability adds to the offensive upside of Baltimore, and a four man stack is something that isn’t generally used in NFL DFS at this point.
Follow Justin Bales on Twitter (@BalesSJustin)
