Good morning, afternoon, and evening. SuperDraft is one of the newer daily fantasy platforms. Their standard contest operates differently than the salary cap format we are used to. They use a multiplier format. You can choose whichever player you want, but you want to maximize your lineup’s scoring potential by taking advantage of the multiplier that the player gets. For example, if Frank Gore has a 1.7x multiple, this means that he will receive 70% more points than what his actual output is. If he gets ten fantasy points, he will receive 7 more points, thus making his score 17. It is an interesting format, and it forces you to make decisions even though salary cap is not involved.
I will try to dig in and find you some nice value in this format.
Quarterbacks
Ryan Fitzpatrick (1.6x) is the easiest value play for me on SuperDraft. He has a dream matchup against the Jets. The Jets are the second worst coverage unit in the NFL. This means that Fitzpatrick should be able to find receivers that are open all game. His 1.6x multiple, his ability to run the ball and his dream matchup makes him a clear-cut top option for me.
Matt Stafford (1.45x) is playing against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars are not good and give up a lot of points to their opponents. They have given up 147. Matt Stafford should be getting Kenny Golladay back as an added weapon to throw to. I am interested in Gardner Minshew at the same multiplier (1.45x). The thing that separates it for me is the Jaguars’ ability to run the ball effectively and the Lions’ desire to throw the ball all game. Look for Stafford to have time in the pocket and be able to sling the ball all over the field in this fast-paced matchup.
FADE = Matt Ryan (1.2x) is a quarterback I have absolutely no interest in on SuperDraft. He has very limited rushing upside. The Falcons are awful, and his top receiver has been hobbled most of the season. The Falcons seem to be leaning on Gurley more to move the ball. The Matt Ryan of last year that was a near lock for 300+ yards is no more. There are multiple quarterbacks that have a better multiplier, with better teams and a better chance to succeed. Deshaun Watson (1.2x) has the same multiplier as Ryan and has tons more rushing upside. Aaron Rodgers (1.1x) is playing MVP football. Although Rodgers’ multiple is less, the 0.1 will not make a difference in these two quarterbacks’ output. Even Tom Brady (1.4x) is somehow blessed with a higher multiple although he has the same limited rushing upside as Matt Ryan. I will not touch Matt Ryan in any contest on SuperDraft this week.
Running Backs
Alexander Mattison (1.7x) is a running back that may have been priced incorrectly on SuperDraft. Dalvin Cook will not play and Mattison will soak up his role. On top of that, he gets a dream matchup against the hapless Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons continue to bleed points to the running back position, especially through the air. Kirk Cousins enjoys checking down, and although Mattison is not Cook, he will fill that role. This is a monstrous multiple for a running back that very well may score in the top three of all players in his position. He should lead the pack in output when it’s all said and done.
Miles Gaskin (1.65x) gets to play as a 9-point favorite against an awful Jets team. The Dolphins have looked impressive recently, but they have a chance to blow the Jets out. Gaskin should get plenty of work, including goal-line work and passing game work. This 1.65x is very high for a running back in a great spot
Risk/ Reward decision= Leveraging off of Mike Davis (1.4x) will be an unpopular choice. Mike Davis has looked like the best fantasy running back on his team. There may be a controversy when McCaffery returns. He has been getting targeted like a wide receiver and has scored a touchdown in the last three games. He should be popular so if you are playing in a contest that you want some leverage, you should consider his opponent David Montgomery (1.45x). The panthers are the worst team in the NFL at stopping the run. James Robinson (1.45x) is also a strong option in a high pace game against the Detroit Lions. On SuperDraft there is only 0.5 points per reception awarded, so it diminishes Davis’ receiving prowess. I am not saying Davis is a bad play. I am just saying there are very good ways to be different and leverage the field if you want to go for a lower-owned play.
Wide Receivers
Jamison Crowder (1.4x) is playing for the awful Jets team. He is their best offensive player and when a team is losing, they usually throw. In the games that Crowder has played he has seen an average of ten targets per game. He is hauling those targets in at a very high rate. They received a quarterback upgrade with Flacco starting, and the Dolphins aren’t exactly world beaters defensively. They are bottom five in coverage, which should bode well for an excellent slot receiver.
Kenny Golladay (1.35x) is probably more of a favorite play than his quarterback (mentioned above). He is returning in a dream spot against the Jaguars. Both teams play fast, being top ten in pace. The Jaguars terrible pass rush should allow Stafford time to find Golladay. Remember, this is a multiplier format so that 1.35x makes Golladay an even better play than the reasons listed above.
Yolo: Tee Higgins (1.8x) has a massive multiple in a game that his team should be trailing in. He seems to have emerged as the number one receiver due to his connection with Joe Burrow. We know that teams that are losing like to throw. Burrow is not a bad quarterback. He throws to the guy he trusts, and will bode well for Higgins. He has gotten no less than six targets since week two and should get some end zone targets. His 1.8x multiple means that a touchdown for him will be worth 10 points. Imagine if he gets two of them like he did against the Eagles!
If this than that: Laviska Shenault(2.0x) has been gifted 6+ targets in each of the last three games. As I touched on earlier, this game will be full of fantasy goodness. The fast pace and lack of defense will make a lot of players in this game intriguing. This guy becomes nearly a priority for me IF DJ Chark is ruled out. If Chark is out, Shenault’s multiplier is way too high for his expected and possible scoring. He only has one un-converted target in each game, so typically when he is thrown the ball, he catches it. His 2.0x makes him a full PPR wide receiver. That matters. Not to mention a touchdown for him will be worth 12 points. You do the math.
