What is up Karma Nation! I will be diving into Superdraft today. If you haven’t signed up yet, make sure to use PROMO CODE: KARMA for a massive deposit bonus! We recently partnered with SuperDraft. If you haven’t heard of them, it is a relatively new site with no salary cap. The way you separate yourself from the field is by multipliers. Each individual player has a multiplier by his name. The guys who are projected to score less have a higher multiplier, while the fantasy stars either have no multiplier or barely any. This adds a lot of thought to your DFS lines, since you can fit anyone you want.
I will be breaking down my top ceiling plays for tomorrow’s slate. There are so many different ways to play superdraft we can see a lot of spread out ownership which makes this site amazing.
Quarterbacks
At quarterback there are a couple different routes you can go and this is what usually trips me up. I usually prefer to “Pay down”. The value at QB is always so high, I like to pick players with the higher multiplier. We normally see at least one or two cheaper guys go off so I look to take advantage of that in GPPs because it can really separate you from the field.
Justin Herbert (1.75x): His multiplier is way too high for the ceiling he offers. With this multiplier, he has the highest ceiling on the slate. If he only scores 20 fantasy points that’s 35 fantasy points for SuperDraft. The Panthers defense has been awful this year and last. They are a team I love to take advantage of in fantasy. Herbert ran this offense 10x better than Taylor could have and almost beat the Chiefs. Who have been shutting teams down. Dating back to last year, they were only allowing 16 points per game including playoffs and only 11.5 points per game not including playoffs. This might have had to do with the fact that the Chiefs prepared for Taylor all week then after the coin toss, they found out that Herbert was starting so they had no prep time. Herbert made some rookie mistakes that we expected, but Taylor has been working with him this week to help limit those. As long as the runningbacks don’t steal all the touchdowns the Chargers should put up 4 touchdowns; giving Herbert plenty of fantasy points. Plus, he gets it done on the ground, which Chargers fans are not used to after having Philip Rivers for 15 years. 18 yards on the ground seems like so much.
Runningbacks
Josh Kelley (1.9x): Kelley isn’t the star runningback in the offense but he is getting a huge workload right along side Austin Ekeler. Kelly is getting a lot of hype in the industry this week and on SuperDraft he has a huge 1.9x multiplier. Week 1 we saw a snap count difference of 50 to 18, Ekeler to Kelly, which is not something you want as a Kelley owner but was great as an Ekeler owner. Kelley still saw 12 carries on only 18 snaps so his usage was still really high. Move on to week two the snap share changed drastically. We saw 43 snaps from Kelly and 47 snaps from Ekeler. Kelley ended seeing 23 carries and 12 routes run. Kelley gets to face the Panthers this week which all I can saw is they are bad, really really bad against runningbacks. The Panthers have given you two, yes TWO rushing touchdowns a game in 7 straight weeks. Herbert runs this offense way better than Tyrod did. We should see a lot of points scored for the Chargers and if we can get positive game script, there will be even more rushing opportunities for Kelly tomorrow.
Wide Receivers
CeeDee Lamb (1.65x): Lamb has one of the best matchups in the league tomorrow. Seattle has been getting torched in the slot all year. Last week we saw Edelman go for 179 yards and the week before Gage went for 119 yards. Julian Edelman now leads the league in slot yards with 220, Gage is second in the league with 136 yards. Guess who is third? Yep, CeeDee Lamb is third in the league in slot yards with 132. Lamb runs 91% of his snaps out of the slot which is the second most in the league. Lamb has an amazing Multiplier with 1.65x which is higher than his teammate Michael Gallup, who he should easily outscore raw points wise. If Lamb is able to get in the endzone tomorrow he could be the highest scoring WR on the slate; with the multiplier.
Tight Ends
Drew Sample (2x): Sample has a opportunity to slide into the TE1 spot for the Bengals since Uzomah is done for the year with an Achilles tear. Joe Burrow has always loved throwing to his TE and with CJ done Sample is the main guy for the Bengals to soak up all the targets in the middle of the field. Over the first two games TEs have 20 targets for the Bengals. Now Sample gets to take over those 10 targets a game. The volume is there and the projected negative game script should lead to Burrow passing more just like he did against the Browns. Sample also has 5 redzone targets on the year. With a 2x multiplier, if he is able to score tomorrow, he could be a slate breaker. Logan Thomas is also a good play at 2x but should see more ownership. Cash: Thomas, GPP: Sample.
Top Stack
Don’t forget about your stacks! It might not cross your mind in this type of salaryless format to not stack your lineups but unlike some sports stacks are extremely important in football. If your Quarterback goes off for 25-30 fantasy points, someone needs to reap the rewards of that. In Superdraft you also don’t get screwed over by the “oh I’m $100 away from the perfect lineup”.
Seattle and Dallas game stack:
This game currently has the highest over under on the slate and for a good reason. The Cowboys have yet to play much defense this year and Seattle isn’t the defensive juggernaut like they were in the past. This game should have plenty of fantasy relevance. We could see both teams go for 4+ touchdowns. With both teams looking to pass first. Both Seattle and Dallas throw the ball at an above average rate. Which the more you throw the more plays you can run. Which also leads to more scoring.
Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, D.K Metcalf, Amari Cooper.
