Welcome to the Week 10 edition of Bales’ Top Stacks. In this article, I will outline my favorite NFL stacking options for this week. I will not be including the Thursday, Sunday, or Monday night games, although I will be including my favorite StatHero stack at the bottom of the article. If you want all of my core plays along with our staff’s Final Thoughts article with access to our Discord, click here.
Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers/Aaron Jones/Davante Adams
Rodgers has looked elite throughout the 2020 season. He’s thrown for 2,253 yards, 24 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions on 280 pass attempts through 8 games. He boasts an elite 8.6% touchdown rate, which is the second-best of his career. Rodgers has scored 23.5+ fantasy points in 6 of his 8 games, and he’s averaging 28.9 fantasy points per game in those contests. He gets an elite matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who are allowing 280 passing yards per game this season. They’re also giving up a league-high 8.8 adjusted yards per game while allowing 17 passing touchdowns. The Green Bay Packers are 13.5 point favorites in a game set at 50 points, giving them the highest implied team total on the slate at 31.8 points.
Jones has struggled with injuries in 2020, but he’s a focal point of the Green Bay offense. He’s played 42.4% of the offensive snaps thus far. Through 6 games, he owns 447 yards and 5 touchdowns on 90 carries. He’s also recorded 23 receptions for 182 yards and 2 touchdowns on 33 targets this season. In limited games, Jones has seen 17 red zone carries for 44 yards and 4 touchdowns. He’s also turned 9 red zone targets into 4 receptions for 13 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jones gets a plus matchup this week, as the Jaguars are allowing 138.1 rushing yards per game and 4.5 yards per carry in 2020. They’ve also given up 11 rushing touchdowns this season. Regardless of the game script, Jones will be involved in the offense, making him an elite option in a Green Bay stack.
Adams is another focal point of the offense that has dealt with injuries throughout the season, playing only 62.4% of the offensive snaps thus far. He owns 53 receptions for 675 yards and 8 touchdowns on 69 targets through 6 games. In games that he’s played full snaps, Adams is averaging 34.2 fantasy points per game. He’s seen a league-high 13 red zone targets, posting 11 receptions for 54 yards and 5 touchdowns. Adams has seen 29% of Green Bay’s air yards, totaling 683 air yards with a 9.9 aDOT. He’s posted 30+ fantasy points in 4 of his 6 games, including a pair of games with 45+ fantasy points. Similarly to Jones, Adams will always have a large role in the offense, making him an obvious option to stack with Rodgers.
Los Angeles Rams
Jared Goff/Cooper Kupp/Robert Woods
Goff’s flashed at times throughout the 2020 season, throwing for 2,145 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions on 284 pass attempts. He’s only added 40 yards on the ground, although he’s scored a pair of rushing touchdowns. Goff’s posted 28.36 and 31.24 fantasy points earlier this season, although the majority of his fantasy success has been on the road in 2020. He gets an elite matchup against the Seattle Seahawks, who are allowing 362.1 passing yards per game. They’ve also given up 16 passing touchdowns while allowing 7.9 adjusted yards per attempt this season. The Los Angeles Rams are 2 point favorites in a game set at 54.5 points, and they boast an implied team total of 28.3 points.
Kupp’s played 88.3% of the offensive snaps for Los Angeles this season. He’s turned a team-high 71 targets into 48 receptions for 527 yards and 2 touchdowns. Kupp is also coming off of one of his best games, posting 11 receptions for 110 yards on 20 targets against the Miami Dolphins. He owns only 4 red zone targets, posting 1 reception for 16 yards and 1 touchdown. Keep’s seen 504 air yards with a low 7.1 aDOT. Overall, he boasts 25.9% of Los Angeles’ air yards this season. Kupp gets an elite matchup, and he should continue to be the top option in LA’s passing attack.
Despite playing a team-high 90.6% of Los Angeles’ offensive snaps, Woods has been a disappointment in 2020. He’s posted 37 receptions for 436 yards and 4 touchdowns on 54 targets. He has added 108 yards and 2 touchdowns on the ground, though. Woods is also coming off of his best game of the season, posting 28.4 fantasy points against Miami. He’s seen a team-high 7 red zone targets, posting 6 receptions for 38 yards and 2 touchdowns. Woods owns 23% of Los Angeles’ air yards, recording 443 air yards with an 8.2 aDOT on the season.
Washington Football Team
Alex Smith/Antonio Gibson/Terry McLaurin
Smith returned this season from a devastating injury and will draw the start with Kyle Allen undergoing season-ending surgery. Smith essentially played one full game, throwing for 325 yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions against the New York Giants. The last time he was healthy, he threw for 2,180 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions in 10 games. Smith gets an elite matchup against the Detroit Lions, who are allowing 243.9 passing yards per game and 8.2 adjusted yards per attempt. They’ve also given up 17 passing touchdowns this season. The Washington Football Team is a 3.5 point underdog in a game set at 46.5 points. They own an implied team total of 21.5 points.
Gibson’s only played 44.6% of Washington’s offensive snaps this season. He owns 391 yards and 5 touchdowns on 90 carries. He also boasts 22 receptions for 182 yards on 26 targets through 8 games. Gibson saw 20 carries for 128 yards and a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys before being limited with an injury last week. He’s Washington’s preferred red zone back, totaling a team-high 16 red zone carries after Peyton Barber started the season in that role. They don’t often throw to their backs in the red zone, though. Detroit struggles against the run, as well, allowing 148.1 rushing yards per game to go along with a league-high 13 rushing touchdowns. They’re allowing 4.8 yards per carry, making Gibson an elite option on this slate.
McLaurin leads Washington’s receivers, playing 93.9% of the offensive snaps thus far. He’s performed well with inconsistent quarterback play, posting 50 receptions for 692 yards and 3 touchdowns on 77 targets. He’s also coming off of one of his best games of the season, posting a 7/115/1 line on 8 targets against the New York Giants. McLaurin leads Washington with 8 red zone targets, turning them into 4 receptions for 21 yards. He’s seen 755 air yards with a 9.8 aDOT thus far. More importantly, McLaurin has recorded 45.3% of Washington’s air yards, making him the easiest play on their team.
Follow Bales on Twitter (@BalesSJustin)
