Joey’s TNF Showdown Throwdown LAC@KC
Hello DFS Grinders and welcome back to my Thursday Night Football Showdown Throwdown article. We have an amazing game tonight between the top 2 teams in the AFC. Unfortunately this game isn’t for the first seed as the Chiefs have the tiebreaker over the Chargers but this game could still decide the outcome of the playoffs for whoever ends up winning the division and getting home field advantage throughout the playoffs. As some of you may know I’m a chargers fan but I will try to keep my bias out of this as much as possible. This game currently has a 54.5 game total with the Chiefs as a 3.5 point favorite.
Studs/MVP Candidates
Philip Rivers: This might be the most important game of his career as he’s wrapping up one of his best seasons of his career. If he’s able to come into Kansas City and pull off a win he will cement himself into the MVP talk so you know he will be playing his heart out. The stats are not in Rivers favor but the Chiefs defense is far worse then in years past.
Patrick Mahomes: There’s not much to convince you on here. He’s been the top fantasy QB all season but he doesn’t see a tough matchup tonight. He has the safest floor on the slate and with no Hunt or Ware the team will have to rely on Mahomes completely to win the game.
Keenan Allen: He is the perfect stack to go with Rivers. Since Gordon has gone out he has seen a huge uptick in volume. 27 targets in 2 games. He’s back facing the Chiefs where he’s went off for 8/108/1. In a face paced game he should be plenty involved in the offense to pay off that high salary.
Middle Tier
Travis Kelce: Kelce has probably the best matchup out of all the pass catchers for Kansas City. Hes been the top option in the offense the past couple weeks. He finds himself in another great matchup here against the Chargers. It’s tough to attack these guys from the outside with one of the top secondaries in the league so you really want target then with TEs. Kelce is the best TE in the league in a great spot so he will be one of my staples tonight.
Damien Williams: He is in a great spot tonight and looks like will be receiving the bulk of the carries tonight for KC. La struggles to defend the run so if he gets 15+ touches he should smash at that price. He should be in positive game script being 3.5 point home favorites.
Justin Jackson: He showed sparks of huge potential in the last 2 games and in a great matchup tonight he should be able to smash. He has a chance to add onto his last 2 performances in another great matchup. On the Thursday-Monday slate he is a most play at min price
Kickers and Defense
Judging by the O/U and the points averaged by both these teams you would assume defense was out of the question. The Chiefs are the number 1 scoring offense and the Chargers are the number 5 offense in the league. We could see some defensive production in this game seeing as it is a Thursday Night Game which are historically lower scoring then most games.
Kickers are in a nice spot here with a high game total there should be plenty of opportunities to kick. They are a great source of salary relief on the slate.
Cheap Tier
Charcandrick West: The Chiefs have signed West back to the team after Ware went down with an injury. They are short at RB depth and West already has proven to thrive in this offense. Chargers have struggled against the run since Perryman has gone down with an injury. He’s dirt cheap on both sites and should be heavily considered as a cheap option to be able to stack these studs. He looks thrilled to get back out there and the team already seems to love him with Ware out he makes for a great value play.
Monkey Knife Fire Picks
Karma has partnered with a brand new site to bring you even more ways to win some cash. I love to prop bet and this site gives out some great odds and bets. It looks like I will be putting a lot of money on tonight’s action because of the new site, Showdown slates and Thursday to Monday slates.
Favorite Bet: Rivers +6.5 passing yards over Mahomes paired with Allen .5 receptions over Kelce. This is in the rapid fire section for 2.11x
Another bet I really liked the 3.92x over/under bet. Mahomes Rivers and Allen overs.
If you wanted to take a shot at the 16x over/Under bet I also like the overs on all of them.
