What’s up Grinders and welcome back to another edition of my Free NFL Wildcard Weekend MonkeyKnifeFight.online props article. We will be diving into tonight’s exciting WildCard Weekend matchups. There are some good props to take advantage of so let’s get right into it.
Make sure to check out Monkey Knife Fight projections built by Luke (NBA) (NFL) they are always great.
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Buffalo @ Houston
DeShaun Watson UNDER 20.5 fantasy points: Without Fuller for the Texans Watson just isn’t the same QB. In 4 games he is averaging 235.3 passing yards which is 30 less than with Fuller while averaging 2 fewer yards per attempt. Watson is now going against the Bills who have one of the best pass defenses in the league. They have only allowed 20+ fantasy points 3 times this season and are allowing 13.3 fantasy points per game which is the best in the league. As long as the Bills contain Watson rushing TDs this should be an easy under.
Josh Allen OVER 19.5 fantasy points: Josh Allen has a pretty easy matchup against the Texans. This number is a little too high to be a “Lock” but I still like the over especially on Prizepicks.online where he is only 18.0. He is on the road as a first-time playoff QB, so he will be looking at negative game script in the back half of the game that should get him over. 5 of his 6 best games have come on the road this season as well. His rushing upside puts him over the top for me and if he finds the end zone on the ground, which he has in 7 games this season, he should have an easy over. The Texans have allowed a 19.5+ fantasy scoring in 9 out of the 16 games this season. Only twice have the Texans have gotten multiple interceptions in a game and one of those was of course against Winston. Allen’s over is a little tough but I still like it with the rushing upside and negative game script. Make sure to check out Prizepicks.online if you haven’t to get him at a discount of 18.0.
Tennesse @ New England
We all know the Patriots in the Playoffs as one of the Goliaths in the league over the past 20 years, but this is the first time the Patriots will be in the Wildcard since 2010, where they lost to the Ravens by 3 scores. This could end up being an amazing game, the Titans aren’t your normal 6 seed push over. Since Ryan Tannehill has taken over the starting job the Titans are 7-3 while the Patriots are only 3-3 against playoff teams including 2 wins against the Bills.
Derrick Henry OVER 90.5 rushing yards: It looks like Winter Storm Henry is not expected to hit at the force that would have made this a grind it out game but it is Derrick Henry’s birthday today so the stars are still aligning for a monster game for him against a poor run defense. Patriots defense has been one of the best defenses in the league but that comes with a big asterisk. Against non-playoff teams, they outscored their opponents 30.5-10 compared to losing on average 19.1-20.8 against playoff teams. Even though Henry doesn’t need positive game script to get increased carries. The Titans rank 5th in the league per Sharp Football stats for running plays in the second half while trailing, as well as ranking first in the league on running plays in the second half while winning at a 72% rate. Henry has been a beast all season but now is his time to shine like we saw last year. Cold weather makes it hard to tackle this 6’3 240 pound freak of nature. Over his last 6 games Henry is averaging 6.5 yards per carry and 150 yards per game. Cold and rainy weather is expected in Foxboro tonight so best of luck to the Patriots tackling him tonight!
TD Dance: TD Dance props are always fun. My picks tonight for this game are James White, Derrick Henry, and AJ Brown for 1.5 Touchdowns. We have playoff James White tonight who always comes alive in the playoffs, especially with a banged-up WR core for the Pats, Brady will have to rely on white in a lot of spots tonight. Henry just because he’s Henry and you can’t have a TD Dance without Henry. He had 10 touchdowns in his last 6 games. AJ Brown is a boom or bust guy with high touchdown upside and the third-best choice with the Patriots all banged up.
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