Ethan’s NFL Last Look for PrizePicks -Week 12 - DFS Karma
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Ethan’s NFL Last Look for PrizePicks -Week 12

What’s up Karma Nation! Welcome back to another edition of my Last Look article for PrizePicks. If you haven’t made an account for PrizePicks, click on the link. Then use promo code KARMA for a nice deposit bonus and a free play. In this article, I will be outlining one of my favorite PrizePicks prop of the weekend. To find my other prop plays and all of the other staff’s favorite prop plays, make sure to sign up for our NFL Core Plays.

Michael Pittman Jr. OVER 11.5 Fantasy Points:

Michael Pittman Jr. did not start the year off being the number 1 wide receiver for the Colts, but he’s now the top receiver in town. He gets one of the best matchups on the slate, against the Tennessee Titans. In week 10, these teams squared off; Pittman had 7 receptions on 8 targets and 101 receiving yards. He leads the team in targets (18) for the last 3 weeks. The over/under in this game is 51.5, which makes it one of the highest for the week.
The Titans come into the game ranked 27th against the pass. They give up the 4th most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season. Rivers will not run, so the production will have to come through the passing game for the Colts. The Titans have given up the second-most receiving targets through the last 3 weeks. This sets up for an amazing matchup for the Colts passing game. Teams are also throwing against the Titans in the red zone. The Titans have given up the most wide receiver targets in the red zone this year, Pittman had 3 targets in the red zone back in week 10. The FREE Projections Portal on the site has Michael Pittman Jr. projected for 12.54, which is over his prop. Pittman leads the Colts receivers in targets (18) and snaps (80%), for the last 3 weeks. Pittman should be able to have at least 5 catches in this game while being targeted around 6 times. We can also expect at least 1 target for Pittman in the red zone since you attack the Titans through the air. Even without a touchdown, I expect Pittman to go over based on usage alone.

MIKE DAVIS OVER 14.5 Fantasy Points:

Mike Davis will get the start again this week, with Christian McCaffrey most likely missing another game. Davis has been great this year, with McCaffrey missing most of the year. Davis is averaging 13.6 rushing attempts, 55.6 rushing yards, 5.3 targets, 4.6 receptions, and six total touchdowns. Teddy Bridgewater is back at quarterback, which should provide more check-down passes to Mike Davis this week. The over/under in this game is 51, which makes it one of the highest for the week. The Vikings come into the game ranked 22nd against the run. The Vikings give up an average of 17.2 fantasy points to running backs, and rank 19th in PPR against opposing running backs. Davis averages just over 5 targets per game and is second in red-zone targets for running backs. Davis also has 11 red zone target this year, which gives him an even higher chance of scoring a touchdown to help the over. The free Projections Portal on the site has Mike Davis projected for 16.09, which is over his prop. We can expect around 15 rushing attempts this game, and if the Panthers are winning, we could see that number closer to 20. I also expect Davis to be active in the passing game, 4-6 receptions are reasonable for him this Sunday. Even if Davis does not get a touchdown, I expect him to go over his prop total, since he is highly active in the run game and pass game.

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