Good morning, afternoon, and evening. SuperDraft is one of the newer daily fantasy platforms. Their standard contest operates differently than the salary cap format we are used to. They use a multiplier format. You can choose whichever player you want, but you want to maximize your lineup’s scoring potential by taking advantage of the multiplier that the player gets. For example, Keenan Allen has a 1.3x multiple, this means that he will receive 30% more points than what his actual output is. If he gets ten fantasy points, he will receive 3 more points, thus making his score 13. It is an interesting format, and it forces you to make decisions even though salary cap is not involved.
Let’s dive into week 12:
Quarterbacks
Taysom Hill (1.65x) has a very high multiplier for the number of things he can do on the football field. We know of his floor because of his rushing ability. That rushing ability also adds to his ceiling with his ability and willingness to pound the ball into the end zone when the New Orleans Saints get close to the goal line. The Saints are facing the second best defense in the NFL, but a three-pronged quarterback playing for a hot Saints team is someone I am very interested in.
Mike Glennon (2.0x) Is not good. He has not been good for as long as I can remember him playing in the league. He was heard saying that he doesn’t know when the next time he will start an NFL game, so he doesn’t have much to lose. The Jacksonville Jaguars don’t have much to lose either, so I don’t see a reason to put any restraints on Glennon. I believe Glennon will look to be a gunslinger, and just look to have fun in this game. He does have the disadvantage of having two of his wide receivers out, but that is negated by playing the Brown’s bad secondary. Glennon will earn double anything that he does in this game, and because of that he must be looked at heavily. An achievable 250-yard game with two touchdowns would be the equivalent of 500 yards and 4 touchdowns. That would likely be a historic stat line if anyone puts that up.
As boring and obvious as it is to insert Josh Allen (1.15x) here, I feel like based on someone that is discussed later, I must. This game against the Los Angeles Chargers is shaping up to be a hotly contested shootout. We should all know by know that Allen has the rushing ability and the green light to throw a ton. We know what he is capable of. Combine that with what should be a very fun game, and he is in consideration. If you like his opponent, Justin Herbert (1.2x) better, I won’t argue with you. I think either one of these could be the best quarterback of the day. Josh Allen will be more popular, but Herbert has been fantastic ever since he’s become the starter.
I have no interest in Baker Mayfield (1.5x) even at an interesting multiplier. Despite facing a bad Jaguars defense, the Browns seem to have become more self-aware. They have arguably the best running back duo in the league running behind unarguably the best run-blocking unit in the league. If you couple that with how awful Baker Mayfield has been this season, there is little reason to take him. I will also add the fact that he is without a pro-bowl caliber receiver in Odell Beckham Jr. I will let the masses play with Mayfield. I will look elsewhere, almost anywhere else.
Running backs
I truly hope people have forgotten about Myles Gaskin (1.45x). With Salvon Ahmed out, this will make Gaskin even more interesting in his return. He gets a matchup with the winless Jets. Gaskin has been very solid running the ball as well as receiving, making him a viable dual threat. Tua Tagovailoa hasn’t been a gunslinger, so Gaskin should be in line to get a good workload. I feel like with him being injured for the past few weeks, people will not remember that he exists. That’s what I hope.
James Robinson (1.3x) has been getting work no matter the game script. In games they have been ahead, he has gotten a good workload. In games that they are trailing by a lot, he has gotten a heavy workload. We can be relatively sure that he will get the ball. The Browns do not have a good defense, so I assume he will be more efficient than he was against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Robinson has been one of the most consistent running backs this year and I like the 30% increase in fantasy points that I get just for clicking his name.
I would be silly if I didn’t at least bring up the best performing running back in the NFL. Dalvin Cook (1x) has been the epitome of a workhouse. He leads the league in rushing touchdowns and rushing first downs. He is ten yards away from the yardage leader, and he has done it on 28 less carries. The problem I have is that SuperDraft will not give you any bonus for Cook. This makes Cook still very good in cash games. He has a dream matchup with a horrible Carolina Panthers rushing defense. With no multiplier, he lacks the upside that other players will have. I still truly feel like he will outdo more than half of the running backs on the slate without a bonus, so you will have to determine if you want to lock in the safety and sacrifice the bonus points.
There is a defense worse than the Panthers. The Las Vegas Raiders will have the luxury of not facing Todd Gurley. Instead they get a heavier dose of Brian Hill (1.9x). We are mistaken if we think this is a downgrade. Hill grades out better than Gurley according to Pro Football Focus. He will get nearly double the points for his fantasy production. In a game that I believe Atlanta will have little trouble moving the ball, this makes him very interesting. Hill has a multiplier as if he is a backup, but he is thrust into the starting role. Matt Ryan could take over the game offensively, but having a running back that can pound it in the end zone and catch passes will always pique my interest.
I also like Wayne Gallman (1.65x) against a bad Bengals team that just lost their quarterback. He has been steady.
Alvin Kamara(1x) will be a complete fade for me. With Kamara in a brutal matchup against the second-best defense in the NFL, there is no way I can logically recommend him with a no multiplier. He also must compete with Latavius Murray (1.75x) and his quarterback Taysom Hill for goal line carries. I can get Cook at the same 1x. I will keep this one simple. There is no need to get cute here. I will treat Kamara as if he doesn’t exist on this slate.
Wide Receivers
For the first time ever, I will combine three receivers in the same paragraph. Stephon Diggs (1.3x), Cole Beasley (1.55x), and Gabriel Davis (1.9x) are all in play. This is not only because of John Brown’s injury. With John Brown being out, this will force Josh Allen to spread his targets to his other wide receivers. I think Diggs offer you the most safety and arguably is the best receiver on the slate even without his multiplier. His multiplier just makes him that much better of a play. I see no reason why he should not get peppered with targets from Allen if this game is close. Beasley should continue to get a steady workload and has over a 50% bonus. Davis will not directly pick up all of Brown’s work, but at 1.9x it makes the prospect of him getting into the end zone even more exciting. I am not recommending taking all three in the same lineup, unless you think Josh Allen throws for 400+ yards with 6 touchdowns. I am saying that all these pieces are great to have in a lineup. Diggs will likely be the highest owned receiver on the slate and for good reason. His teammates could provide leverage off Diggs or as a piece in a stack.
Without Adam Thielen, I see very little reason why Justin Jefferson (1.45x) should not have a field day with this awful Carolina Panthers defense. He has usually is the big play threat while Thielen handles the underneath work. I think that he will be the focal point of the passing attack for the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings are a run-first team, but they have no problem finding holes on the defense to exploit the staked boxes that they are often presented with. I am a fan of Justin at this multiplier.
Michael Pittman (1.85x) is not getting the respect that I think he should be. Although Phillip Rivers likes to spread the ball around, he seems to enjoy targeting Pittman more lately. Pittman is a big wide receiver that finds ways to get himself open in zone coverage. Rivers had a field day against the Tennessee Titans defense in their last matchup, so I am looking for Rivers to find success again. I believe Pittman will be an integral part of this success. 1.85x is too high of a multiplier for someone that has multi-touchdown upside and should get a lot of targets.
Tight Ends
One day I will stop writing up Darren Waller (1.3x). That day won’t be today. Waller continues to get a multiplier bonus because he has not had a massive ceiling game to shock the system. Until he gets a lower multiplier, I will continue to write him up and continue to take him. In one of my favorite games Sunday, the Las Vegas Raiders will take on the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons are generous to inside receivers and Darren Waller is a matchup nightmare for nearly anyone inside. As long as Ruggs is there to stretch the field vertically, Waller is always in line to get soft matchups inside. It may be boring, but until it stops working, I will keep doing it.
We finally have a slate with a tight end that may be more athletic than Darren Waller. Travis Kelce(1x) is in the best offense in the league. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers were destroyed inside by Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp. I don’t see why Kelce will have much trouble against them. The thing that holds him back is the lack of a multiplier bonus. Even without a bonus, he will likely be in the top 10% of tight ends on SuperDraft and because of that fact, he is hard to overlook.
Jordan Reed (1.95x) is a very talented tight end. When healthy, he is a top five talent at the position. Unfortunately for just about all his career, injuries have plagued him. I am interested in his upside in a matchup against the Rams. The Rams are very talented defensively outside, but are soft inside. If Reed can find some chemistry with Nick Mullins, he could be in line for a good game. A good game with this massive multiplier would make it a fantastic game. Nearly double the fantasy points for a player with Reed’s talent puts him near the top regarding ceiling at the tight end position.
Best of luck in all your SuperDraft games!
