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Record: 13-14 +7.02 units
#24 Cincinati at #11 UCF (-7.5)(-110)
For the first time in the history of ESPN College Gameday, they will be visiting Orlando Florida. The UCF Knights and the UCF Twitter Mafia pled its case for a visit from Gameday and Kirk Herbstreit answered their calls. At Primetime on Saturday the Cincinnati Bearcats visit the UCF Knights, where the Knights find themselves a 7.5 point favorite. Led by Junior QB McKenzie Milton the Knights are currently riding the nation’s longest win streak at 22 games. In addition to their unrivaled success, they also have fared well at home. The Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. This matchup is intriguing because we have one of the conference’s best offenses vs the conference best defense. With UCF being at home and the “Gameday Effect” in full gear, look for that high octane offense to be firing on all cylinders. Last year the matchup between the two teams was not even relatively close, the Knights won 51-23. There are two keys to success for this Bearcats team; keep the Knights behind the chains and pound the ball with Michael Warren II. Although this Bearcats defense is limiting its opponents to just 14.9 points per game. The UCF Knights’ offense, who averages 44 points per game will be too much for the Bearcats. Look for the Knights to win and cover and show all of America there is a reason they are the highest rated Group of 5 school in the history of the College Football Playoff Era.
Bet 3 units on UCF -7.5 to win 2.72 units (-110)
#12 Syracuse (+9.5) vs #3 Notre Dame (-110)
The Syracuse Orangemen take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Yankees Stadium on Saturday. Notre Dame looks to stay perfect and stay alive in the College Football Playoff picture. Syracuse will be the most dynamic offense Notre Dame has played all season. 9.5 points is a big gap between two teams playing at a high level on a neutral field. QB Eric Dungey comes into the game having thrown for 2,193 yards 14 TDs and 5 INTs, while adding another 690 yards and 12 TDs on the ground. Look for Dungey’s versatility and athleticism to keep the game between the two close. Syracuse is coming into this game 7-2 ATS in their last 10 games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road. Just as I called on Week 5’s episode of What’s the Spread, Syracuse tends to keep it close in big conference matchups. While Notre Dame is playing well and winning ball games, the health of Ian Book comes into question. Despite Wimbush stepping up against Florida State, it is a given they will need a healthy Ian Book to defeat Syracuse. Since Book took over in week 4, he has thrown for over 1,800 yards and 14 TDs. Should his rib injury limit him, the Fighting Irish are immediately on upset alert. Over the last 4 games vs teams with winning records the Fighting Irish have fared well. They are 3-0-1 ATS. Notre Dame should walk out of Yankees Stadium with a win, but they will fail to cover the 9.5 points.
Bet 2 units on Syracuse +9.5 to win 1.82 units (-110)
#16 Iowa State at #15 Texas (-2.5)(+100)
Take away a team’s best player on the road against a ranked opponent, and it generally spells disaster. When digging into this game it’s hard to ignore the trends that point you into the direction of Iowa State. The Cyclones have covered in 9 out their last 11 road games. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. They are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games at Texas. And Texas is 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 games. With all that being said the Cyclones must play with one of their best players on the bench for the first half. During last week’s game against Baylor, David Montgomery threw a punch at one of the Baylor defenders during a scuffle. There is no denying the Cyclones will miss the Junior RBs production. Montgomery has rushed for 765 yards and 6 TDs. After snapping their two game skid last week to Texas Tech, look for the Longhorns to continue their winning ways at home against Iowa St. Had the spread been any larger, say 5+, the play was to take Iowa St to cover. Since the line has moved in favor of Texas, take Texas -2.5.
Bet 1 unit on Texas -2.5 to win 1 units (+100)
Parlay Bet
Parlay 0.5 unit on Georgia Tech -4, Missouri -6, Oregon -4 to win 3.00 units (+600)
