We are excited to bring you our CFB DFS Game Theory. This piece of content is created to help break down each slate and label plays into four, very easy to follow categories: Cash, safe GPP/upside, low owned GPP, and fades. Utilizing this piece of content, along with other DFS Karma CFB content, will help make your lineup construction more effective and lead you to being a more consistent DFS player.
| QB | RB | WR | Top Stack |
| D’Eriq King | D. Mills | A-R St. Brown | USC |
| K. Slovis | B. Knox | T. Atwell | UNC |
| S. Howell | J. Hawkins | D. Brown | Penn St. |
| S. Clifford | G. Brightwell | D. London | Indiana |
| M. Penix Jr. | M. Carter | W. Philyor | Notre Dame |
*If you don’t already play 3 lineups and 3 max entry contests daily, try using the teams provided in the stacks above to maximize upside and correlation in your CFB lineups.
Slate Thoughts:
- So far we have had 4 of the 14 games on this week’s slate cancelled due to Covid-19. Fortunately we have some really exciting games left on this slate. This slate offers us a lot of high powered offenses that are in really good spots. With that said, there are a few ways you can go in cash this week. My focus in cash games this week will be on the USC Trojans. Kedon Slovis and the USC Trojans got off to a slow start last week, but finished with some good momentum. I expect them to carry that momentum into this matchup with Arizona. Arizona has a few new pieces on their defense this year that are going to be challenged by this high powered offense. Slovis is a solid play in cash games this week, so are his receivers St. Brown, London and Vaughn’s. St. Brown is my priority when it comes to this group of WR’s. My top stack of the weekend is Slovis/St. Brown/ London.
- UNC has been one of my top offenses to target weekly due to their knack for explosive plays. They have explosive playmakers at every position, and will be taking on a weak Wake Forest defense this week that will struggle to find answers for this UNC offense. The Wake Forest defense is allowing over 180 rush yards per game. I believe that Williams and Carter are poised to have huge games this week. My focus will be more on Carter than Williams due to the $3000 price difference. Carter and Williams have similar usage in this offense, so I will take the savings on a guy that projects to do very well in this game. Obviously we cannot forget about Sam Howell, Dyami Brown and Dazz Newsome. Dazz has shown some life recently and Sam Howell has been on fire over the last few weeks. In gpps, I really like a four man stack of Howell/Carter/Brown/Newsome. UNC is in a smash spot, you will want to get some exposure to them this weekend. I feel like I say this every week, but Dazz Newsome is way too cheap!
- UVA and Louisville square off this weekend in a game that will feature little to no defense. This game comes in with one of the highest projected totals on the slate. Louisville is in a great spot this weekend, and are priced like it. Cunningham and Hawkins are really good plays this weekend, but they will cost you. The player that I have the most interest in is Tutu Atwell. Atwell is one of the best WR’s in the ACC and UVA will have no answers for him. Although Cunningham and Hawkins are priced up, Atwell comes in at a very reasonable $6500. In tournaments Cunningham, Hawkins and Atwell make tons of sense. At this moment I love the idea of getting both Atwell and St. Brown in my cash build.
- On the other side of this UVA/Louisville game we have a few Cavaliers who are in really nice spots. First, we have Armstrong at the quarterback position. Armstrong has had his ups and downs this year, but he is poised to have a big day vs. this Louisville defense. Louisville allows over 200 rush yards per game, which really benefits a dual threat QB like Armstrong. If you plan on playing Armstrong it makes sense to pair him with one of his wide receivers. The two that I would target are Kemp and Jana. Jana comes in at a slightly lower price, and has just as much upside as Kemp, just a lower floor. Running Armstrong alone makes sense in this spot as well.
- Indiana is the surprise team for me so far this year. Penix Jr. has played really well this year throwing for over 700 yards and 7 touchdowns. They will be taking on a Michigan State team that looks good one week and then looks awful the next. I expect this Indiana offense to stay hot this week and take it the Spartans. Penix Jr’s favorite target, Whop Philyor, has had a really nice start to his season. Last week alone Philyor was targeted 18 times. Ty Fryfogle is another solid pass catcher in this offense, and is second in targets this year. Fryfogle is priced too low on DK this week, coming in at a price of only $4700. If you are looking for a value play, look no further than Fryfogle or his teammate Peyton Hendershot, who is also priced below $4500. Indiana should come in lower owned with all of the high powered offenses on this slate, and carry just as much upside.
- One of my top running back plays this week comes from the MTSU vs Marshall game. Brenden Knox, RB for Marshall, will facing Middle Tennessee state this week. Middle Tennessee has allowed 250 rush yards per game, and now will face one of the best running backs in the C-USA. Knox is a true bell-cow for the Thundering Hurd. He has carried the ball 132 times for 674 yards and 9 touchdowns this year. Knox is in one of the best matchups of the entire slate. The only worry here is that Marshall jumps out to a huge lead, and they start to limit Knox’s workload. Though that could happen, that will not move me off of him this weekend. Knox is a strong play and can be considered in any format.
- News we will have to keep an eye on tomorrow, is the injury status of L. Brown(WVU) and K. Herbert(VT). If they miss I love rostering their backups. Alec Sinkfield for Brown would be a strong play, as would R. Blackshear for Herbert. I will keep everyone updated on their status in discord!
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