We are excited to bring to you our CFB DFS Game Theory. This piece of content is created to help break down each slate and label plays into four, very easy to follow categories. Cash, safe GPP/Upside, low owned GPP, and fades. Utilizing this piece of content, along with other DFS Karma CFB content, will help make your lineup construction more effective and lead you to being a more consistent DFS player.
| QB | RB | WR | Top Stack |
| S. Ehlinger | Najee Harris | Damonte Coxie | SMU |
| Brady White | Chuba Hubbard | Reggie Roberson | Memphis |
| Alan Bowman | S. Thompson | TJ Vasher | Texas Tech |
| Matt Corral | Vincent Davis | Jaylen Waddle | Ole Miss |
| Kyle Trask | U. Bentley IV | Elijah Moore | Baylor |
*If you don’t already play 3 lineups and 3 max entry contests daily, try using the teams provided in the stacks above to maximize upside and correlation in your CFB lineups.
Slate Thoughts:
- In this weeks slate of college football games, we have a bunch that could turn into shootouts. First, the number one game that is on my radar, and that should be on yours, is the Memphis @ SMU game. This game currently has a total sitting at 74. I expect this game to have plenty of fireworks and you will want to make sure you have pieces of this game in your cash lineups. Brady White and Shane Buechele are really good plays, but are priced pretty high. However, with this game total and this environment, I think it is important to have exposure to one of these two in cash games. In terms of cost, White comes in a full $1,000 below Buechele, so I would lean slightly towards him.
- As far as the other pieces of this game go, the top two receiving options, Damonte Coxie and Reggie Roberson, are great plays this weekend. However, we need to look at some of the cheaper options to pair with our quarterbacks so that we don’t handcuff ourselves in other roster spots. A few guys that stand out to me are Kylan Watkins, a RB for Memphis, Sean Dykes, a TE for Memphis, and Danny Gray, a WR for SMU. All three of these players carry immense upside in this matchup and I feel are priced too low for what they can produce. Sean Dykes led Memphis in receiving yards in week 1, with 137, and finished second in targets. Danny Gray is a speedster that can score on any given play. He has great upside for the cheap price of $5100. Finally, we have Kylan Watkins, who shares time in the backfield with Clark. Memphis runs a lot of two RB sets and Watkins gets plenty of opportunities, especially for only $4600.
- With a lot of ownership going to SMU and Memphis, it allows us to get some other guys that are in great matchups at much lower ownership. One of the teams that I believe will come in lower owned than they should be is Ole Miss. We just watched Ole Miss, led by Lane Kiffin, give Florida all they could handle. Surprisingly, Matt Coral looked REALLY good, and I expect him to keep up the good play this week vs. Kentucky. This game has a high total of 62, and both teams like to play fast. Kentucky does have a pretty good defense, but Lane Kiffin is a really good offensive mind, and I expect him to have his Rebels hitting on all cylinders. Matt Coral is a great play in this game, as is his top target Elijah Moore, who had 12 receptions last week for 227 yards. I love stacking Coral and a few of his pass catchers in GPPs!
- The RB position on this particular slate is not very appealing. For instance, we have Najee Harris and Chuba Hubbard as the only two studs on this slate, and a bunch of non appealing options below them in the mid-tier. Playing one of Hubbard or Harris should be something you look to do in cash games. Between the two of them, I lean Harris as a slightly better play than Hubbard. There are a few value guys that stand out to me on this slate. One value guy that stands out is Vincent Davis of Pitt. AJ Davis got injured in their last contest and left early. If Davis is ruled out this week and Vincent has the backfield to himself, he is a very good value play at $4700 facing a very weak NC State run defense.
- Another team that I think could come in lower owned are the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Alan Bowman has been averaging 50 pass attempts per game, which gives him a very reasonable floor. Kansas State does not have a very good defense, and I do not see them slowing this passing attack down. If I were to play Alan Bowman, I would want to play TJ Vasher and KeSean Carter with him. I think this game has the potential to go over the projected total of 64. Carter is very reasonably priced, especially when you consider that Rigdon could miss this game due to a rib injury.
- Good luck tomorrow guys. Click the link below to join today and gain access to all of our core plays!
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