Hello all and welcome to my NFL GPP breakdown for Week 7 of the 2019 NFL season. For those of you who were here last year, we had a ton of success with this article throughout the year and saw a plethora of screenshots throughout the season of MAJOR wins from in cooperating this article into your weekly research and lineup construction. For those of you who are new, welcome, my name is Bob Viafora and I am one of the lead DFS analysts at DFS Karma. I’ve been with DFS Karma for 3+ years now and looking forward to what our team (and you – the reader) is able to accomplish this season. As a staple of your weekly reading/research, please reach out to me on twitter @DF_Advantage (throw me that follow if you don’t already) each week and let me know how your rosters did as well as sharing any #screenshots you may have. Football is back! Let’s GO!
Make sure to use the code “ENDZONE” for a discount and hop into the DFS Karma Discord ASAP.
Follow me on Twitter: @DF_Advantage for more TAKES. I put my money where my mouth is weekly and actually play real dollars on my plays.
QUARTERBACK :
High Tier: Jared Goff ($6200 – DK ) – I talked on the podcast how much I am in on Goff this week. This is a perfect bounce-back spot where I don’t really think Sean McVay is the one holding this offense back. The Falcons may be the worst defensive schemed team in the NFL and should get torched by Goff and a healthy receiving group this week.
Goff seems to be a shoo-in for the 300-yard bonus where he may legitimately pass the ball over 50 times this game. Goff + two pass-catchers is a fantastic start to your core in a GPP lineup.
Mid Tier: Daniel Jones ($6100 – DK ) – Daniel Jones is seeing projected ownership under 10% while grading out as a top-3 value on the slate. He’s priced up near Goff so it may take some people off the scent but Jones likely has a higher ceiling here. The rushing upside he brings to the table is a factor with Barkley back should take some attention off the receiver as the opposing defense goes back to stacking the box to restrain Saquon.
With how involved Saquon is in the passing game for the Giants, it makes sense to go the QB-RB-WR route here where all three players involved in the stack have in their range of outcomes ceiling games.
Low Tier: Jacoby Brissett ($5600 – DK ) – I am extremely high on Jacoby Brissett this week and it’s likely he will be extremely low-owned (sub 5%). I seem to be all in as I picked him up to stream in all my season-long leagues and will be at around 50% exposure in my tournament lineups. Brissett brings that rushing ability to the table with a healthy TY Hilton back + Doyle/Ebron as RZ threats, this just seems like a perfect spot against a very suspect Texans D.
Deep Sleeper: Gardner Minshew
Running Backs:
High Tier: Saquon Barkley ($8,900 – DK ) – The alien himself has returned and is in for a possible explosion game at sub-20% ownership. People don’t understand that Saquon is the best RB in the NFL and will be very under-owned this week due to the fact he is coming off an injury. He was almost ready to go against the Pats and you can be sure that this dude is fully healthy and will get a regular workload. Load up.
Mid-Tier: Joe Mixon ($5,000 – DK ) – Mixon seems to be forgotten but remains an extremely high usgae back in this offense. Obviously, this isn’t the best team to target offensive players from but the we’re playing Mixon for the volume here. At 5k he really doesn’t need to do a ton to get there with a ton of upside for a ceiling game against a suspect rookie QB at home.
Ownership projections are extremely down on Mixon this week so keep an eye out if he is going to come in under 8% owned.
Low Tier: Latavius Murray ($5,100 – DK )- Murray is priced slightly above Mixon but whatever. I haven’t seen a ton of ownership projection updates here but I’m assuming Murray is going to be low owned considering he’s going up against the Bears defense. Even with the tough matchup, and the extremely low total, Murray projects as a top 3 value on the slate at under 5% owned. Murray in the workhorse role is underpriced at 5.1k regardless of matchup.
Deep Sleeper: Derrick Henry
WIDE RECEIVER:
High Tier: Michael Thomas ($7,900 – DK ) – This may be the lowest owned we get Michael Thomas over the next 5 years. Yes, the total is low and the matchup is very tough and the QB situation isn’t great. However, the ceiling vs leverage tradeoff we are getting by loading up on Michael Thomas here may make us all rich come Sunday.
Mid Tier: Tyler Boyd ($5,600 – DK ) – Boyd is another player that is getting very overlooked considering his usage/volume in his offense. Last week he was shutdown which is going to drive the ownership off of him but the Jaguars defense is not what it used to be, especially without Ramsey locking him up. Boyd should be able to dominate in the slot.
Low-Tier: Darrius Slayton ($4,100 DK ) – This is the milli maker type play that could actually help you take down 5,000+ man tournaments. Slayton is a deep threat here for the Giants and the last person the Cardinals defense is going to be concerned about giving Slayton’s lack of reputation. With the uptick in plays/passes we’re expecting from the Giants, Slayton should get ample opportunities to smash his price tag.
Deep Sleeper: Golden Tate
TIGHT END:
Eric Ebron ($4,800 DK ) – People may laugh at the thought of playing Ebron but he is actually projecting as a top 10 TE value on this slate. Given how high I am on Brissett, you understand that I am giving his pass-catchers a boost. After applying my boosts to his projections he comes in as the 5th best TE value on the slate behind Andrews, Waller, Engram, and Kittle. We’re getting at least one TD from the Colts TE’s on Sunday – take that to the bank.
Deep Sleeper: Jack Doyle
I will be giving out more of my low-owned GPP’s plays on Sunday morning where I will be hosting an Instagram live show you can find @DFS_Karma on Instagram around 11am. Make sure to stay tuned and thanks for reading! I better see ALLLL the screenshots Monday morning with all of you RAKING in the cash! LET’S GOOOOO! #MONEYTEAM
WRITTEN BY: @ DF_ADVANTAGE – Follow me on Twitter 
