Hello all and welcome to my NFL GPP breakdown for Week 11 of the 2019 NFL season. For those of you who were here last year, we had a ton of success with this article throughout the year and saw a plethora of screenshots throughout the season of MAJOR wins from in cooperating this article into your weekly research and lineup construction. For those of you who are new, welcome, my name is Bob Viafora and I am one of the lead DFS analysts at DFS Karma. I’ve been with DFS Karma for 3+ years now and looking forward to what our team (and you – the reader) is able to accomplish this season. As a staple of your weekly reading/research, please reach out to me on twitter @DF_Advantage (throw me that follow if you don’t already) each week and let me know how your rosters did as well as sharing any #screenshots you may have. Football is back! Let’s GO!
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QUARTERBACK :
High Tier: Deshaun Watson ($6800 – DK ) – Watson is in an up-hill battle this week against a scorching hot Lamar Jackson and Ravens team. This game carries a massive total of 51.5 but it seems like all the QB ownership on this game is concentrated on Lamar Jackson as Deshaun Watson falls under the radar projected for just 5% ownership. Watson should be forced to air it out this game and I believe we could be in store for a shootout.
Watson has plenty of options to pair with him as well in Hopkins/Fuller/Johnson. All of whom make high-ceiling stacks this week.
Mid Tier: Dak Prescott ($6700 – DK ) – I’ve been high on the Cowboys offense all year and this is another week where ownership is down on them and I am going to be pouncing. Dak is possibly the most underrated QB in the NFL and I believe the Cowboys understand that they need to focus on the passing game here in what feels like a must-win week against the Lions with the Eagles cloesly in the battle for the NFC East.
Prescott with Cooper and Cobb is one of my favorite stacks of the week. The price on Cobb is egregious considering the role he has in this offense. The upside on Cooper is as high as any WR on the slate.
Low Tier: Carson Wentz ($5400 – DK ) – Focusing on another NFC East QB, Wentz may be less than 1% owned this week. Let’s remember when it comes to fantasy – defense does not matter. Nobody is going to be playing the Eagles at home against the NFL’s best defense. Wentz is just 5.4k and all his pass-catchers are priced down. While this may be a lower-dollar buy-in stack for me I’ll have exposure come Sunday.
Deep Sleeper: Jacoby Brissett
Running Backs:
High Tier: Alvin Kamara ($7,400 – DK ) – Obviously as I state every week – RB isn’t a position where you need to get too weird so don’t be surprised that these plays will likely be 10-20% owned. Kamara is getting overlooked in favor of CMC/Cook/Fournette and projects for the lowest ownership of the bunch while he is priced the cheapest. Obviously the “matchup” against the TB run defense is tough but I’m confident enough that Kamara has the talent to overcome the matchup. His involvement in the pass game gives him as much of a ceiling as any player on the slate. Kamara at 10% owned with the Saints implied for four touchdowns is astonishing. Throw in the fact that he is just 7.4k and it’s comical.
Mid-Tier: Tevin Coleman ($6,100 – DK ) – Coleman is going to see a major workload with Breida/Kittle out and yet the 49ers are still implied for 28 points. Unless you see Jimmy G throwing four tuddies here, it makes a lot of sense to give Coleman a boost implication in touchdown shares. I’d be very surprised if he doesn’t find the end zone on Sunday. With his involvement in the passing game, he is clearly underpriced at 6.1k.
Low Tier: Duke Johnson ($4,000 – DK )- This sets up for a perfect Duke Johnson game. The Texans are on the road and will be trailing. The Ravens have been leaky to RB’s this season and with Will Fuller probably not 100%, someone will need to be getting the targets outside of Hopkins.
At just 4k on Draftkings, Duke Johnson is one of my favorite FLEX plays of the slate.
Deep Sleeper: Sony Michel
WIDE RECEIVER:
High Tier: Amari Cooper ($7,700 – DK ) – I spoke above about how high I am on the Cowboys offense. Nothing changes when it comes to Amari. Due to the mispricing of Julio/chalk Michael Thomas/value at WR/paying up at RB, I don’t see a world in which Amari is over 10% owned.
Single-digit ownership on a guy with proven slate-breaking upside. Add in the fact I’d be on this offense even if they were chalk this week and I’ll be loading up.
Mid Tier: Stefon Diggs ($6,900 – DK ) – Diggs > Thielen has always been my take and it looks like the ownership on Diggs will be down a bit due to the same reason we’re getting a low owned Amari Cooper. Diggs is a high aDOT receiver in an offense that is clicking. The Vikings are implied for 25+ points at home and Diggs makes for a fantastic pivot off of a lineup without Dalvin Cook.
Low-Tier: Auden Tate ($4,200 DK ) – This is a shot in the dark I’m on again this week. AJ Green doesn’t look like he’s going to play a game for the Bengals this season leaving Tate as the underpriced WR2 in a very weak offense. However, they are playing the Raiders who have kept the pace of games high and should be playing from behind for the majority of the game. I prefer Boyd > Tate but considering ownership and the need for a low-tier WR – Tate makes a ton of sense to fit into a lineup where you want to pay up else where.
Deep Sleeper: Randall Cobb
TIGHT END:
Zach Ertz ($5,000 DK ) – If I’m playing a Carson Wentz lineup I am keying in Ertz as his WR options are extremely thin this week. Ertz at 5k fills up the TE position that nobody feels comfortable with this week unless you’re jamming in Darren Waller. I feel very comfortable with the Ertz play and he will likely be my highest owned TE of the week regardless of lineups with Wentz. I’m paying for safety at a position that could very likely flop with all other options.
Deep Sleeper: TJ Hockenson
I will be giving out more of my low-owned GPP’s plays on Sunday morning where I will be hosting an Instagram live show you can find @DFS_Karma on Instagram around 11am. Make sure to stay tuned and thanks for reading! I better see ALLLL the screenshots Monday morning with all of you RAKING in the cash! LET’S GOOOOO! #MONEYTEAM
WRITTEN BY: @ DF_ADVANTAGE – Follow me on Twitter 
