This content piece will be dedicated to providing you with an easy to follow breakdown on the ELITE cash plays, SAFE GPP plays, LOW-OWNED GPP plays, and stacks for this week’s NFL main slate.
By utilizing this content you will be able to build +EV lineups and start increasing your DFS ROI in MINUTES.
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| QBs | RBs | WRs | Stacks |
| D. Prescott |
E. Elliot | D. Adams | Cowboys |
| T. Brady | A. Kamara | J. Jones | Eagles |
| R. Tannehill | M. Sanders | C. Kirk | Patriots |
| C. Wentz | D. Williams | O. Beckham | Titans |
| B. Mayfield | J. Hill | C. Sutton | Browns |
If reading my content make sure to follow me on Twitter – @DF_Advantage
*If you don’t already play 3 lineups and 3 max entry contests daily, try using the teams provided in the stacks above. It is highly advised to play 5 guys in your stacks for DraftKings & 4 for FanDuel. Using this method, try entering 2-3 stacks in 3 max entry tournaments on DraftKings & FanDuel nightly. Make the stacks first, then worry about filling out the rest of your lineup with Core Plays.
Thoughts:
Updates to come to this section as we approach lock so continue to check back for more insight.
- We know how important stacking is in DFS. It is very under-utilized in NFL so it is important to focus on stacking and maximizing correlation when creating your DFS lineups.
- Going off what I said above…. the fact of the matter is: IF YOU ARE NOT STACKING/CORRELATING YOUR LINEUPS IN NFL DFS YOU ARE GOING TO BE A LONG TERM LOSER.
- Those are just the facts speaking from what the data tells us so don’t get offended.
- In Week 17 things are starting to get weird. Some games matter a lot for teams (i.e. Cowboys) and some games don’t matter to teams. These are all situations for leverage that we need to keep an eye on. My approach has historically been to focus my ownership on the games that actually matter. The Cowboys, Eagles, and Patriots are the teams I am highest on this week. Cowboys and Eagles will be fighting for the NFC East while the Patriots compete for a first-round bye, and the Titans are in the playoffs with a win. The Browns, however, are my sleeper team due to the fact that I think they may ball out for pride more than any other team in the NFL, especially in what feels like a must-win game against the Bengals in terms of team morale going into next season.
- What a world in which Jarvis Landry is priced above Odell Beckham Jr. while playing on the same team. Although Landry is projecting as a slightly better value, the 90th percentile outcome for the two leans Odell. I lean Odell in this spot.
- At RB, the situation is a bit muddy in Baltimore, but with how much money I invested into Justice Hill in the offseason I figure he owes me a bit of cash, right? That’s how this works? In all seriousness, Hill was an extreme talent and even in a low total game, at 4.6k, he doesn’t need to do much to pay off.
- At WR, the clear leverage play in the top tier is DeAndre Hopkins. He’s priced up perfectly near Julio and Davante where those two are going to be nearly double the ownership. He is my favorite leverage play of the week at the WR position.
- Now to talk about my CORE 5 STACKS. I’m going to keep some low ownership in here this week. These stacks will take into account ownership projections/actual projections/game theory/upside/etc. If playing a 5-max contest this week – you could easily build around these stacks knowing that your lineups are already +EV. It’ll be key to get some value stacks in given that I find it to be a priority to get CMC into your lineups.
- Tom Brady-Julian Edelman-Mohammed Sanu/Mike Gesicki
- Dak Prescott-Michael Gallup-Randal Cobb/Steven Sims
- Carson Wentz-Greg Ward-Dallas Goedert/Saquon Barkley
- Ryan Tannehill-AJ Brown-Corey Davis/DeAndre Hopkins
- Baker Mayfield-OBJ – Jarvis Landry/John Ross
If you don’t already follow me on Twitter for more sports insight.
- Twitter: @DF_Advantage
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DFS Karma is partnered with DraftKings and we are also avid fans and users and may sometimes play on our personal accounts in the games that we offer advice on. Although we have expressed our personal view on games and strategies, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and we may deploy different players and strategies than what we recommended in this article. We are not employees of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
