Hello all and welcome to my NFL GPP breakdown for Week 16 of the 2019 NFL season. For those of you who were here last year, we had a ton of success with this article throughout the year and saw a plethora of screenshots throughout the season of MAJOR wins from in cooperating this article into your weekly research and lineup construction. For those of you who are new, welcome, my name is Bob Viafora and I am one of the lead DFS analysts at DFS Karma. I’ve been with DFS Karma for 3+ years now and looking forward to what our team (and you – the reader) is able to accomplish this season. As a staple of your weekly reading/research, please reach out to me on twitter @DF_Advantage (throw me that follow if you don’t already) each week and let me know how your rosters did as well as sharing any #screenshots you may have. Football is back! Let’s GO!
You must be logged in to view the FREE content below. Click HERE to log in.[restrict]
Follow me on Twitter: @DF_Advantage for more TAKES. I put my money where my mouth is weekly and actually play real dollars on my plays.
QUARTERBACK :
High Tier: Dak Prescott ($6400 – DK ) – The shoulder injury surrounding Dak is going to keep his ownership down and we’re already seeing that where he’s projected to be under 10% owned in what otherwise is a smash matchup with the Eagles secondary that has gotten picked apart by the majority of teams the Eagles have faced.
The Cowboys have an explosive offense filled with play-makers in Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, Zeke, and Tony Pollard… All of whom are used in the pass-game and should get touches this Sunday. Zeke is projected to be fairly popular so you are gaining some field leverage by playing Dak with some pass-catchers at single-digit ownership.
Low Tier: Jacoby Brissett ($5900 – DK ) – The Colts are implied for nearly 27 points and don’t have one player projected for over 10% owned. Brissett brings rushing upside to the table and can be paired with one or two pass-catchers which gives us some flexibility if there are some other players we’re looking to fit into our lineup.
Zach Pascal’s emergence as a legitimate threat in the offense with the return of a healthy (?) TY Hilton gives this stack enormous upside. Factor in that you can potentially pair with Jack Doyle at TE, one of the positions best values, and Brissett makes a lot of sense to get over-exposed compared to 3%.
Deep Sleeper: Andy Dalton
Running Backs:
High Tier: Miles Sanders ($6,400 – DK ) – I’m glad everyone got to witness how good Miles Sanders really is. I saw it in person at Penn State and now Sanders seems poised to show his talent at the NFL level. The man some said was more talented than Saquon Barkley when at PSU is a perfect bring back for my Cowboys stack and will be heavily involved in the offense again this week through the air and on the ground. The price jump is keeping people off of him but he is still a top-10 RB value at 6.4k with ownership levels under 10%.
Low Tier: DeAndre Washington ($4,000 – DK )- Keep an eye on Josh Jacobs’ status here but I am leaning towards him not playing. Washington will be fairly involved in the passing game with a projected target share between 10-15%. Factor in lead back duties where he’ll get 60%+ of the carries and he is an absolute steal at 4k on Draftkings even in a tough environment on the road.
A lot of this is contingent on Jacobs sitting but even if it is announced in advance of lock, Washington should not garner too much ownership yet is one of the best value plays at the position. Try to get over-exposed.
Deep Sleeper: Austin Ekeler
WIDE RECEIVER:
High Tier: TY Hilton ($6,400 – DK ) – Given the projected total of this game I can’t believe we’re only seeing 7% projected ownership on TY. Had this been earlier in the season he’d be 20%+. The speedster that can break the slate is home, on turf, on a team with an implied total of nearly four touchdowns. He should see an elite share of his teams receiving TD’s as well as targets. He’s a fantastic GPP play this week.
Low-Tier: Courtland Sutton ($6,200 DK ) – With value available at RB this week I wanted to keep the WR’s more mid-high tier. Sutton missed the Pro-Bowl so there is some narrative at play here but in all reality, Sutton is who we thought him to be last year when doing our player analysis.
The guy is mini-Megatron and should be treated as such. This is going to be a sloppy game with the Lions but Sutton is getting it done week in and week out even when the Broncos are implied for sub-20 points. This week they have a respectable 22 point implied team total and I would be very surprised to see Sutton fail here. The vegas total will keep his ownership lower than it should be.
Deep Sleeper: Kelvin Harmon
TIGHT END:
Jacob Hollister ($4,200 DK ) – People still refuse to play Hollister. At 4.2k he’s one of the best TE values on the slate and given the lack of reliable options at the position, I’m willing to take a shot on Hollister on a Seahawks team with a total over 30 points and rising. The Cardinals have been shredded by TE’s all season yet Hollister isn’t going to be 25% owned this week in the milli-maker???? Ok boomers.
Deep Sleeper: Hunter Henry
I will be giving out more of my low-owned GPP’s plays on Sunday morning where I will be hosting an Instagram live show you can find @DFS_Karma on Instagram around 11am. Make sure to stay tuned and thanks for reading! I better see ALLLL the screenshots Monday morning with all of you RAKING in the cash! LET’S GOOOOO! #MONEYTEAM
[/restrict]
WRITTEN BY: @ DF_ADVANTAGE – Follow me on Twitter 
DFS Karma is partnered with DraftKings and we are also avid fans and users and may sometimes play on our personal accounts in the games that we offer advice on. Although we have expressed our personal view on games and strategies, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and we may deploy different players and strategies than what we recommended in this article. We are not employees of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
