Championship Week
It is hard to believe that we have reached the end of the college football season. Championship week is among us now, which is one of my favorite weekends of the year. These games being played this weekend have huge implications on the College Football Playoff. First things first, I will be locking Heisman hopeful Jalen Hurts into my cash lineup on both sites and will have high exposure to him in tournaments. Below I will outline a few of my top plays and value plays on this slate…
Top Games to Target:
Baylor @ Oklahoma O/U: 64.5
Hawaii @ Boise State O/U: 64.5
Cincinnati @ Memphis O/U: 57.5
QB: Jalen Hurts (Oklahoma): FD 11,800 DK 9,000
The Baylor vs. Oklahoma game this week is a game that I want a lot of pieces from. This game has the highest projected total on the slate and I expect this to be an absolute shootout. Just a few weeks ago we saw this same match-up, and in this match-up Oklahoma fell behind quickly, but to only be brought back in a big way by their Heisman hopeful Jalen Hurts. In that game Hurts threw for 300 yards and 4 touchdowns and rushed for over 100 yards with no rushing touchdowns. I expect Hurts to do about the same this week, only adding in a rushing touchdown or two. Hurts is a lock for cash games and I will be playing him in most, if not all of my tourney lines! His ceiling is just incredibly high this week compared to the other options on the slate.
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RB: JK Dobbins (Ohio State): FD 10,300 DK 8,000
Dobbins has been playing on another level in recent weeks. Over the last 2 weeks Dobbins is averaging 33 rush attempts 184 yards and 3 touchdowns per game. Both of his last two match-ups have been vs. pretty good defenses in Penn State and Michigan. I think Ohio State will lean on Dobbins a little more this week, with Fields banged up with a sprained MCL. I definitely expect Dobbins to keep his insane production up this week. J.K. had 20 rushes for 167 yards in 2 touchdowns in his match-up vs Wisconsin earlier in the year, good for 40 fpts. I am going to try and get both Hurts and Dobbins in my cash line on DK, FD will be a little bit tougher to achieve.
WR: Ja’Marr Chase (LSU): FD 9,700 DK 7,800
Chase is the favorite to land the Biletnikoff award, which is awarded to the nations top receiver. The match-up this week vs UGA is as tough as it gets for him and this LSU offense. However, Chase is extremely talented and has a Heisman front-runner as his quarterback. I think Chase will see plenty of targets come his way, and he will break off a big play in this game. I am not making a Chase a priority this week, but I will have him in my top gpp build. A cheaper way to get exposure to this passing game will be to play Justin Jefferson who is $1,300 cheaper on DK and $1,100 cheaper on FD.
Mid/Value Tier Plays
Jaylon Henderson (Boise State): FD 9,200 DK 6,400
My other top game to target this weekend is the Boise State vs Hawaii game. These two teams played earlier this year and the final score was 59-37 Boise State coming away as winners. Henderson has been playing really good football lately averaging 24 fantasy points per game. This week he will be facing a Hawaii defense that is allowing 230 yards per game through the air and over 210 yards per game on the ground. Jaylon is more of a threat with his arm than he his with his legs, but he does offer a little bit of rushing ability. I expect this game to smash the projected 64.5 O/U, and because of that I want to load up on players from this game. I love the idea of pairing Henderson with Hurts in my cash game build, especially on DK.
Consider: T. Lawrence (Clem); J. Burrow (LSU); Z. Thomas (App St.); Tyler Johnston III (FD ONLY)
Kennedy Brooks (Oklahoma): FD 8,000 DK 5,600
It blows my mind that neither Fanduel nor Draftkings have appropriately priced Brooks since the season ending injury to Tre Sermon. I will be looking to get Brooks into a majority of my lineups this weekend, especially my cash line. Brooks has averaged 22 rush attempts over the last 3 weeks reaching 150+ yards twice. Brooks gets another positive match-up against Baylor this week, a team that he ran for 93 yards against 3 weeks ago. Baylor’s defense has been pretty solid vs the run this year, but over the last 3 weeks Baylor is allowing an average of 193 rush yards per game. I expect Oklahoma to expose the Baylor defense on the ground with Brooks and Hurts.
Darrynton Evans (App State): FD 9,300 DK 7,000
I played a lot of Evans last week, and lets just say he did not disappoint. I will be going back to the well again this week! Evans is in a phenomenal spot this week vs a Louisiana-Lafayette team that is allowing 250 rush yards per game over the last 3 weeks. Evans has had 6 total touchdowns over the last 2 weeks. With Sutton out with a torn ACL, I expect App to lean more on their stud running back. Evans should find plenty of room to run this week.
Consider: G. Holani(Boise); Clyde Edwards-Helaire (LSU); D. Swift (GPP) (UGA)
Jared Smart (Hawaii): FD 7,400 DK 5,400
Again, I want to get as many pieces to this game that I can fit into my lineups. Smart has taken over the #2 wide receiver position in the Hawaii offense. His last 3 weeks have been as follows 8rec/123yds/1td; 7rec/82yds; 6rec/106yds. He has been a big part of this offense lately, and I do not see that changing this week. Boise has been susceptible vs the pass, allowing 257 yards per game over the last 3 weeks. I think Smart is way to cheap for the type of role he has in this offense, and especially in this type of game environment.
Consider: J. Ross (CLEM); T. Hennigan (APP St); Kalil Pimpleton (CMU); K. Jones (MEM); JaCorey Sullivan (CMU): C. Byrd (Hawaii)
Good luck this weekend guys! Remember join us in Discord to stay updated on all news concerning this slate.
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