Week 11
Games to target:
FSU @ BC (-2.5) O/U: 63.5
MD @ OSU (-43.5) O/U: 65
WF (-2) @ VT O/U: 61.5
LSU @ ALA (-6) O/U: 62.5
ISU @ OU (-14.5) O/U: 68
Texas Tech (-2.5) @ WV O/U: 59
Top Tier:
QB Justin Fields (OSU): FD 10,800 DK 9,000
Justin Fields is in a great spot this weekend, facing one of the worst defenses in conference. Maryland is allowing 290 pass yards per game. I expect Fields to find success throwing the ball, and also running the ball. I believe that Fields’ ceiling is right up there with Hurts this weekend, and by playing Fields you get to save $1200 and use that money in other areas. Fields has 1700 yards on the season with 24 touchdowns and only 1 interception. Fields also has 9 rushing touchdowns this season. Expect a big day from Fields!
Also consider: J. Hurts (OU) FD Only; J. Burrow (LSU); J. Newman (WF); S. Ehlinger (TEX)
RB: Travis Etienne (CLEM): FD 9,600
Etienne has been on fire over the last 3 weeks, compiling 428 rush yards and 5 total touchdowns on only 47 carries, that is good for 9.1 yards per carry. I expect Clemson to lean on the rushing game again this week on the road at NC State. This is a game that Clemson should and will dominate. Clemson was left out of the top 4 in the first CFB playoff rankings, which should fire them up and they are going to want to get as many style points as possible.
Also consider: AJ Dillon (BC); JK Dobbins (OSU); Cam Akers (FSU)
WR: Sage Surratt (WF): FD 9,700 DK 7,500
Wake Forest has been on a pretty good roll over the last few weeks, and last week they got Jamie Newman back from injury after a 2 week absence and they looked elite on the offensive side of the ball. Wake Forest plays at one of the fastest paces in the country. This week Newman and company get to face a Virginia Tech defense that allows nearly 3oo yards per game through the air. Surratt is one of the best wide receivers in the country, and it is no secret that he is Newman’s favorite target. No one on VT can stop Surratt or this high octane WF offense.
Also consider: J. Jeudy (ALA); J. Chase (LSU); J. Jefferson (LSU)
Mid Tier:
QB Skylar Thompson (KSU): FD 9,400 DK 6,300
Thompson has been playing lights out over the last 2 weeks and gets a great match-up this week, where he should be able to continue his success. This week he will be facing a Texas defense that is ranked 126th in the country in passing yards allowed, allowing over 305 yards per game. Texas also allows over 160 rush yards per game, which sets up well for Thompson’s skill set. Thompson does not do much with his arm, but his ability to run the ball, especially inside the 1o yard line, sets him apart from the others in this range.
Also consider: T. Lawrence (CLEM); J. Daniels (ASU); J. Duffey (Texas Tech)
RB Breece Hall (ISU): FD 9,100
Oklahoma has allowed 150 rush yards per game. Iowa State is going to lean on the run and try and keep the ball out of Hurts and Oklahoma’s hands as much as possible. Kansas State smashed Oklahoma in the mouth with their run game and I expect Iowa State to take a lot from that game. Hall has been playing really well for the ISU averaging 130 yards per game over the last 3 games and he also has 7 rushing touchdowns over that span. Expect a big game from Hall this week.
Also consider: N. Harris (ALA); T. Jones Jr. (ND); L. Perine (UF) Dk only; D. Dallas (MIA)
WR Devonta Smith (ALA): FD 8,800 DK 6,400
When you think of LSU vs Alabama you usually think of a defensive battle and a final score of 13-10. This year I think it is going to be a track meet. Both defenses this year have had their ups and downs, and have not looked like the dominant defenses that we have come to know when talking about Bama and LSU. Both offenses possess many weapons and big play threats all over the field. This game may come down to who has the last possession. I think Burrow separates himself in the Heisman race this week with an amazing game on the road at Bama. Tua is coming off of an injury this week, which is a little worrisome, but with Tua back in the mix, that bumps up Smith for me. Devonta Smith is a cheap way to get a piece of this explosive game. He has the ability to put up 60 points as he has proven. I like a Burrow, Chase stack and running it back with Devonta and Jeudy. This game has an over/under of 62.5 and I think it hits over.
Also consider: KJ Hamler (PSU); B. Aiyuk (ASU); K. Hinton (WF); J. Ross (CLEM)
Value Plays:
QB: M. Cunningham (LOU); J. Fromm (UGA)
RB: J. Armstrong (ND); K. Walker III (WF); D. Bailey (BC)
WR: KJ Hill (OSU); D. London (USC); T. Barber (TCU)* ; D. Jones (ISU); J. Reagor (TCU); C. Johnson (TEX)
