Welcome to Bales’ Premium PrizePicks – NFL Player Props Week 16 (Saturday)! Below I will discuss my NFL favorite plays for tonight’s slate!
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Power Play
Jameis Winston threw for 450+ yards in each of his last 2 games. He also threw for four touchdowns in each game. Overall, he’s averaging 326.6 yards and 2.1 touchdowns on 39.6 pass attempts per game. Winston has added 229 yards and 1 touchdown on the ground, as well. He gets an elite matchup against the Houston Texans. They are allowing 266.1 passing yards per game this season. Houston has also given up 30 passing touchdowns, while recording only 8 interceptions. Winston’s totals are a bit low because he will be without Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Still, he can find success with anyone in this system. Winston makes a strong bet for 300+ yards and 2+ touchdowns again this weekend.
Tom Brady has been struggling quite a bit recently. Over his last 5 games, he’s averaging 205.8 yards and 1.4 touchdowns on 39.2 pass attempts per game. He threw for less than 200 yards in 3 of his last 4 games, as well. Brady gets a terrible matchup against the Buffalo Bills, who are allowing only 190.5 passing yards per game this season. They have also only given up 13 passing touchdowns, while recording 13 interceptions. In their first matchup, Brady threw for 150 yards without any touchdowns and 1 interception. While I don’t expect that bad of a game from him this weekend, there is plenty of room to still hit the under at the current total.
Play 1 unit on Jameis Winston OVER 20.8 fantasy points and Tom Brady UNDER 17.0 fantasy points to win 2.5 units (2.5x)
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