Welcome to Bales’ Premium PrizePicks – NFL Player Props for the Super Bowl! Below I will discuss my NFL favorite plays for tonight’s slate!
Power Play
Damien Williams has been playing at an elite level recently. Over his last 4 games, he’s averaging 70.3 yards and 1.3 touchdowns on 14.3 carries per game. He’s also averaging 3.5 receptions for 30.5 yards and 0.5 touchdowns on 5.5 targets per game over that span. Williams is seeing a ton of red zone looks on one of the best offenses in the NBA. He gets a relatively tough matchup against the San Francisco 49ers, but they have struggled significantly more against the run than the pass this season. Williams comes with a solid floor because of his role in the passing offense and touchdown production. This total is dependent on his ability to find the end zone, and that could be likely to happen with the total being set at 54.5 points.
Kendrick Bourne has seen plenty of ups and downs this season. He gets a plus matchup in this game, though, as the Kansas City Chiefs have struggled at times against the slot receiver. Bourne is expected to play in the slot throughout this game, potentially finding success. He has seen 6 red zone targets in 2019, posting 5 receptions for 31 yards and 5 touchdowns. He’s an ultra-efficient red zone target, something San Francisco may want to take advantage of in a must win game. This game is also likely to turn into a bit of a shootout, giving Bourne a few more looks than he would normally get. This total is set extremely low, and he has multiple ways to find the over.
Play 1 unit on Damien Williams OVER 16.0 fantasy points and Kendrick Bourne OVER 5.5 fantasy points to win 2.5 units (2.5x)
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