Welcome to Bales’ Bananas – Monkey Knife Fight NFL Prop Picks Week 17 (Sunday)! Below I will discuss my NFL favorite plays for tonight’s slate!
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Go Long – Atlanta Falcons/Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Julio Jones has taken on a massive role in the Atlanta Falcons offense since the injury to Calvin Ridley. In those 2 games, he has seen 35 targets, turning those into 300 yards. Jones currently ranks second in the NFL in air yards (1,801), while boasting a 12.5 aDOT. He has also seen 375 air yards over the last 2 games, although his aDOT has dipped to 10.7. He comes with 150+ yard potential, and it is somewhat of the expectation that he’ll post more than half of the yards needed for this play.
Bredshad Perriman is another player that has seen an increased role over the last two weeks. Over that span, he has posted 215 yards on 18 targets. He also took over the WR1 duties last week, turning 12 targets into 102 yards. Perriman also ranks sixth in the NFL over the last two weeks in air yards (325) with an elite 18.1 aDOT. He is the focal point of the best passing offense in the NFL, and he’ll continue to see a massive workload with Chris Godwin and Mike Evans injured. Perriman and Jones have the potential to cover this play without the help of a third player.
The final part of this play comes down to O.J. Howard or Austin Hooper. Both can be considered, but Howard is the play here. He has seen 25 targets over the last 4 weeks, and he has posted 226 yards on those targets. Howard has seen the third most air yards (190) for tight ends in the NFL over the last two weeks. He boasts a 13.6 aDOT over that span, as well. Howard doesn’t come with as much upside as Jones or Perriman, but he’ll see plenty of targets this week, adding to the upside of this play. It isn’t a stretch to use this trio for the 3x or 5x this week, as well.
Play 1 unit on Julio Jones, Breshad Perriman, and O.J. Howard OVER 220.5 receiving yards to win 2 units (2x)
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NOTE: Props, players, and contests are subject to change throughout the day. Make sure to get these plays in as soon as possible.
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