Welcome to Bales’ Bananas – Monkey Knife Fight NFL Prop Picks Week 16 (Saturday)! Below I will discuss my NFL favorite plays for tonight’s slate!
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Over Under 2/2 – Houston Texans/Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This is a high passing total for any quarterback, but Jameis Winston has thrown for over 450 yards in each of his last 2 games. On the season, he’s averaging 326.6 yards on 39.6 pass attempts per game. Winston will be without his best two wide receivers this week, but this is a system that is designed for virtually anyone. Most importantly, Winston gets a matchup against the Houston Texans. They rank 28th in the NFL in passing yards allowed (266.1) per game. They are also allowing 8.1 adjusted yards per attempt in 2019. This game should quickly turn into a shootout, and Winston makes an elite option once again this week.
Deshaun Watson hasn’t been as impressive in terms of yards as Winston this season. The former is averaging 262.0 yards on 33.1 pass attempts per game. Watson gets an elite matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They are allowing the third most passing yards (276.8) per game this season. Watson has thrown for 290+ yards in 2 of his last 4 games, as well. This game features only a three point spread, meaning it is likely to stay close throughout. As mentioned above, this game is likely to turn into a shootout, leaving both teams to rely heavily on their quarterbacks. These totals are simply too low for that type of game.
Play 1 unit on Jameis Winston OVER 329.5 passing yards and Deshaun Watson OVER 286.5 passing yards to win 3 units (3x)
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NOTE: Props, players, and contests are subject to change throughout the day. Make sure to get these plays in as soon as possible.
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