Welcome to Bales’ Bananas – Monkey Knife Fight NFL Prop Picks Divisional Round! Below I will discuss my NFL favorite plays for tonight’s slate!
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More or Less 2/2 – Tennessee Titans/Baltimore Ravens
Ryan Tannehill boasts a low total in this game for a number of reasons. He gets a tough matchup against the Baltimore Ravens. They are holding their opponents to only 207.2 passing yards per game in 2019. They have also held their opponents to fewer than 216 passing yards in each of their last 8 games. Tannehill has also thrown for only 270 yards over his last 2 games. With that being said, he saw only 35 pass attempts in those games. Prior to those contests, Tannehill averaged 266.7 passing yards on 27.8 attempts per game through 9 starts. The Tennessee Titans are likely to play the majority of this game from behind, meaning they can’t rely solely on Derrick Henry. This prop should be quite a bit higher if Tannehill will see 30+ pass attempts this weekend.
Lamar Jackson is only averaging 208.5 passing yards on 26.7 attempts per game this season. With that being said, he gets an elite matchup against Tennessee. The Titans are allowing 255.0 passing yards per game this season. They have also allowed their opponents to throw for 201 or more yards in 14 of their 17 games. Tough defenses, blowouts, and weather have been able to slow Jackson down this season, but none of those factors are expected to happen in this game. Mark Ingram is also dealing with an injury, leaving Baltimore to potential lean more on Jackson. While Jackson could use his legs to blowout Tennessee, that isn’t the most likely scenario. This total is a bit low for a relatively close playoff game.
Play 1 unit on Ryan Tannehill OVER 215.5 passing yards and Lamar Jackson OVER 200.5 passing yards to win 3 units (3x)
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NOTE: Props, players, and contests are subject to change throughout the day. Make sure to get these plays in as soon as possible.
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