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Karma Nation! What a finish that was to the U.S. Open! Was really good to see Gary win that and hold off the Brooks charge. We had some bad luck with a late Kuchar birdie that put him inside the top 20 and dropped 2 of our top 20 bets down to a 21st place finish! We did manage to hit both our top rated 2 unit plays tho! This week we head across country to TPC River Highlands in Cromwell, CT, for the Travelers Championship where we actually have a pretty loaded field!
Patrick Cantlay +100 vs Brooks Koepka
Brooks last 3 visits here have resulted in a 19th, 9th, and 51st place finish. Koepka finished in 50th place in the next tournament following the last Major. I don’t see him turning it on and playing with the same desire as he seems to for Majors, especially since he finished in 2nd place last week and is flying across country. Cantlay comes in after finishing an “off” week for him only finishing in 21st place. Last week ended his streak of 4 straight top 10s and 3 top 5s. Cantlay has gained 7+ strokes total in 8 of his last 10 events, and 10 or more in 3 of his last 4. Patrick is in the top 10 for his last 24 rounds in every main SG stat including 1st in SG total.
The Play: Patrick Cantlay +100 1 unit
Bryson DeChambeau -105 vs Francesco Molinari
Bryson has finished higher in his last 3 trips here going 47th, 26th, and 9th last year. He has also seen his SG total stat go up in each trip also gaining 1.6, 5.2, and 9.7 last year. Since he had missed 3 straight cuts he has rebounded and made his last 2 cuts and is averaging 4.5 SG total over the 2. He is just starting to get back into form as he heads to a well liked track. Molinari has lost strokes putting in 3 of his last 4 events, and has lost -.48 strokes on poa greens. He has only finished inside the top 45 in 1 of his last 4 events.
The Play: Bryson DeChambeau -105 1 unit
Charley Hoffman -105 vs Ryan Moore
Moore comes into this weeks event with finishes of 33rd, MC, 69th, 41st in his last 4 events. Ryan has lost strokes putting in 5 of his last 6 events. He has also lost strokes off the tee in his last 3 events and ranks 108th in that stat over the last 24 rounds. Moore failed to make the cut here last year. Hoffman comes in at 6th in SG total, 14th in ball striking, and 24th in approach over the last 24 rounds. His preferred putting surface is poa, and he has averaged 1 stroke gained putting in his last 5 events. Hoffman has made 7/7 cuts here while finishing inside the top 26 every time here. Charley is also gaining an average of 8 strokes gained total in his 7 trips here.
The Play: Charley Hoffman -105 2 units
Top 20 Plays:
Bryson DeChambeau +140 1 unit
Charley Hoffman +225 1 unit
Kevin Tway +450 1 unit
Longshots:
Justin Thomas to win 18-1
Bryson DeChambeau to win 30-1
Sung-Jae Im to win 75-1
Justin Thomas 1st Round Leader 28-1
Charley Hoffman 1st Round Leader 50-1
