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Karma Nation! We are coming off a crazy weekend that seen many big names miss the cut, and we ended up breaking completely even. We will take this result and move forward and look to have a Monster week at the Memorial with a HUGE card! This will be a loaded field as all the big names are out looking to take down one of the biggest non-major events of the year.
Emiliano Grillo -105 vs Louis Oosthuizen
Grillo enters this week off a T19 finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge. He is 3-3 here in cuts made, with a scoring average of 70.4. Grillo has made 9 out of 10 cuts in 2019, with 6 finishes inside the top 35. Muirfield Village has bentgrass greens which is the only surface Grillo has gained strokes putting on this year. In the past 2 events Grillo has gained 4+ Strokes in Approach and Tee 2 Green. He is 7th in total driving, 16th GIR, and 20th in Tee 2 Green this year. Oosthuizen is coming off a 60th place finish at the PGA Championship losing 3.9 strokes total. He only has 2 top 30 finishes in his past 5 events.
The Play: Emiliano Grillo -105 1 unit
Keegan Bradley -135 vs Billy Horschel
Bradley comes to Muirfield off a 29th place finish at the PGA Championship after gaining 7.8 strokes Tee 2 Green and 6.3 in Approach. He lost 2.3 strokes putting, but Muirfield has Bentgrass here which is his only surface that he has a positive strokes gained stat on. Keegan has been solid here with 2 Top 10s and another top 25 in his last 4 appearances. Bradley is 8th in strokes gained Tee 2 Green, 4th Ball Striking, and 2nd in Approach over the last 24 rounds. Billy Horschel doesn’t rank inside the Top 45 in any of the key stats in the past 24 rounds. Billy comes in with only 2 Top 40 finishes in his past 5 events, losing strokes putting in 4 of his last 5 events.
The Play: Keegan Bradley -135 1 unit
Gary Woodland -125 vs Bryson Dechambeau
Dechambeau comes in off 3 straight missed cuts and has only 1 T25 in his last 8 events played. He only ranks inside the top 40 in 1 key stat SG: Off the Tee (30th) in his past 24 rounds. Although he lost 4.2 strokes Off the Tee last weekend. He has been in a tailspin not being able the figure it out on the greens. Woodland comes to Muirfield off an 8th place finish at the PGA Championship where he shot a final round -2 when the average score was coming in at more than 2 over par. He was 2nd in GIR and SG: T2G there. Gary has gained strokes in his last 3 trips here gaining 6.5 SG total last year. In the last 24 rounds Woodland is 2nd in SG T2G, BS, OTT, and is 12th in Around the Green.
The Play: Gary Woodland -125 1 unit
Jason Kokrak -125 vs Kyle Stanley
Kyle Stanley only ranks inside the Top 80 in 1 key stat! He has missed 7 cuts in 2019 and is coming off a missed cut at the PGA Championship. He has lost strokes putting in 8 of his last 10 starts. Kokrak comes in having not missed a cut since the Open last year. He has 8 Top 20s this year and has gained 6 or more strokes in 9 of his last 12 events. Over the past 24 rounds Kokrak is 9th in Ball striking, 14th approach, and 16th in total strokes gained.
The Play: Jason Kokrak -125 2 units
Bonus Plays: Rory Sabbatini -110 over Hatton 1 unit, Justin Thomas over Day -125 1 unit
Top 10 Plays:
Rory McIlroy -125 1 unit
Rory has only finished outside the Top 10 once in 2019. Rory is 1st in Driving Distance, SG Off the Tee, and Tee 2 Green. He is also 1st in Ball striking, and 3rd in Approach over the last 24 rounds. Rory is averaging +8.8 Strokes gained total over his last 10 events. He finished in 8th place here last year and 4th the time before.
Top 20 Plays:
Justin Thomas -125 1 unit
Matt Kuchar -125 1 unit
Gary Woodland +150 1 unit
Emiliano Grillo +240 1 unit
LONGSHOTS:
1st Round Leader:
Justin Thomas 28-1
Rory Sabbatini 60-1
To Win Bets:
Gary Woodland 33-1
Emiliano Grillo 55-1
