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Karma Nation! We’re in Silvas, Illinois this week for the John Deere Classic! TPC Deere Run is the host course for this weekends event. This will easily be the weakest field of the year, with none of the top 50 golfers here. Although this is a weak field we still have value to attack in the betting markets! We will use this week to gain even more momentum as we head into the British Open next week!
Joel Dahmen -110 vs Bud Cauley
Bud Cauley has been one of the worst putters around over the last 24 rounds ranking 105th. He has lost strokes putting in 10 of his last 12 events. He has also been below average off the tee ranking 77th. Joel Dahmen was one of the more consistent golfers earlier this season having 4 T16 finishes in 6 events played. He is starting the get the putter back going, gaining strokes putting in his last 3 events, which was key for him earlier this season. Dahmen returns to an event that he finished in 2nd place last year gaining 11.6 strokes total here.
The Play: Joel Dahmen -110 1 unit
Scott Brown -110 vs Jason Dufner
Dufner comes in with 1 top 30 in his last 6 events with 2 missed cuts and has lost strokes putting in 2 of his last 3. Dufner has been struggling this year missing 6 cuts and only having 2 finishes inside the Top 30 out of 15 events. Scott Brown returns to one of his favorite courses having made 6 of 7 cuts here and finishing inside the Top 25 every time. Brown has been good in 2 of the key stats needed for success here in putting and approach. Scott has gained strokes putting in his last 4 events and has gained strokes in approach in 5 of his last 6 events. Brown is coming off a 15th place finish at the 3M Open gaining 6.9 strokes total.
The Play: Scott Brown -110 2 units
Peter Malinati -110 vs J.T. Poston
Malinati has been playing the best most consistent golf of his career throughout 2019, as he has made the last 7 cuts straight, and 12 of his last 13 cuts. Peter has gained strokes total in his last 6 events, gaining 4+ strokes in 4 of his last 5. He has gained strokes in approach in last 6 events totaling in 20.7. Malinati is also one of the best putters on tour gaining strokes in 12 of his last 13 events. In the last 24 rounds Malinati ranks 8th in strokes gained total. Poston has had a rough last couple months before finishing in 11th at Rocket Mortgage. Poston has missed 4 of his last 7 cuts and in the 3 cuts made finished 11th, 52nd, 60th. J.T. has lost strokes total in 5 of his last 7 events as well.
The Play: Peter Malinati -110 1 unit
Top 20 Plays:
Sungjae Im +125 1 unit
Scott Brown +275 1 unit
Peter Malinati +330 1 unit
Longshots:
Sungjae Im 35-1 First Round Leader
Jhonattan Vegas 66-1 First Round Leader
Kevin Tway 40-1 To Win
Scott Brown 60-1 To Win
