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Karma Nation! We are coming off another big week going 5-1-1 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic! In the last 2 weeks we are now 9-3-1 and up 12.05 units! The PGA Tour heads to TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota this week. The 3M Open is a new tournament this year so again we have no course history for the 2nd straight week. We will look to keep the fire going over this holiday weekend, and look for a 3rd straight big weekend!
JJ Spaun +100 vs Keith Mitchell
JJ Spaun comes into the 3M Open riding a hot streak! He has finished better each of the last 4 weeks and finished in 13th last week at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Spaun finished the week off how he started it shooting -6 (66). Over the last 24 rounds Spaun ranks 27th SG Approach, 23rd SG total, and 24th in Ball striking. Spaun is also 13th in Birdies or better gained, which will be key this week on another easier course. Keith Mitchell comes into this event having missed 3 of his last 4 cuts. Mitchell has only broke 70 in 1 of his last 10 rounds played. Keith is 104th in approach and 84th in putting over his last 24 rounds. Mitchell also ranks 60th in birdies gained and 64th in bogeys avoided.
The Play: JJ Spaun +100 1 unit
Bryson Dechambeau -140 vs Patrick Reed
Patrick Reed had his first Top 25 last week since February, but finished off the Rocket Mortgage with a final round 70. Reed did have his best finish of the year last week coming in 5th. Over the last 24 rounds Reed has struggled Off the Tee ranking 79th and is 91st in putting. Patrick is only 50th in Birdies or better gained which will be key this week. Bryson comes in off a Top 10 finish, and has seemed to figure out his swing after making his last 3 cuts following the 3 week slump he was on. Bryson ranks 7th SG total, 25nd approach, and 3th in putting over his last 12 rounds. Bryson is 5th in Birdie or better gained and 22nd in bogey avoidance over his last 24 rounds. Bryson should contend for the win in this birdie fest event.
The Play: Bryson Dechambeau -140 1 unit
Mackenzie Hughes -105 vs Martin Laird
Martin Laird comes into this week off a missed cut at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. He has only finished inside the top 30 once in his last 12 events. Laird is ranking 81st in ball striking, 91st in SG Off the Tee, and 77th in approach. Martin is a horrible 125th in Opportunity’s gained, and 91st in Birdie or better gained over his last 24 rounds. Hughes comes in on a heater finishing inside the Top 25 in 3 of his last 4 events. He shot 67 on sunday to close out a 21st place finish at the Rocket Mortgage. Over Hughes last 12 rounds he ranks out at 30th in BoB, and 15th in Bogeys avoided. Mackenzie ranks in the Top 25 in SG T2G, Ball Striking, and Off the Tee. Let’s keep riding this hot streak vs a struggling golfer!
The Play: Mackenzie Hughes -105 1 unit
Top 20 Plays:
Rory Sabbatini +170 1 unit
Scott Piercy +240 1 unit
JJ Spaun +350 1 unit
Longshots:
Charley Hoffman 60-1 1st Round Leader
Sunjae Im 50-1 1st Round Leader
Bryson Dechambeau 28-1 1st Round Leader
Jason Day 10-1 to win
Kevin Streelman 40-1 to win
Scott Piercy 50-1 to win
