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LA Rams vs New Orleans Saints -3 56.5
The Saints opened as -3.5 favorites with a 56 over/under it has since moved to -3 56.5. The ticket count for the O/U is right around 50/50 but the money being bet is almost 3x more in favor of the over. Drew Brees is 6-0 at home in the playoffs under Sean Payton. Jared Goff is the least profitable QB vs the spread when he faces a Super Bowl winning QB. This season he is 3-2 and 0-5 ATS failing to cover the spread by 9.8 points per game. Since arriving in New Orleans, Brees is 10-1 ATS when facing a team that averages at least 30 points per game. When the saints have the ball they will look to match-up Micheal Thomas against Marcus Peters. Since joining the Rams in the offseason, Peters has been an unmitigated liability. He owns a career low 57.9 PFF coverage grade and has allowed a 69.5% catch rate this season. Thomas was up agaisnt Peters earlier this season and went for 12 catches 211 yards and 1 TD. The saints were a 1.5 home dog and won outright by 10 points. The saints came out rarely flat last week vs the Eagles going down 14-0 early before coming back and winning the game 20-14 not allowing the eagles to score again. Before the Playoffs started Sean Payton came into the locker room with $225,000 in cash and the Lombardi Trophy and said “You guys want this? Then win 3 f***ing games!” As i write this the saints are 3 point favorites today and we will back the home team in this game.
Play: Saints -3
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