NBA Betting 12/5/18 – Bales’ MyBookie Bets
Minnesota Wolves (-200)
The Charlotte Hornets feature massive home/road splits, while the same can be said for the Minnesota Wolves. Charlotte owns an 8-5 record at home, but only a 3-7 record on the road. They also own a great +7.5 point differential in Charlotte, while it drops to -1.3 on the road. The Hornets will also be without Marvin Williams, who have been a steady part of their rotation this season. Charlotte has also lost seven of their last eight road games this season. On the season, Minnesota owns a 10-4 record at home and a 2-8 record on the road. They feature a +4.8 point differential in Minnesota, which drops to a ridiculous -7.1 point differential on the road. More importantly, the Wolves own an 8-3 record since trading Jimmy Butler. Since the trade, Minnesota ranks second in the NBA in defensive rating and 16th in offensive rating. Overall, they rank third in the league in net offensive and defensive rating (7.8), which only gets better in Minnesota. Similarly to our next bet, I’m willing to take a shot on the home court advantage.
Bet 3 units on Minnesota -5 spread to win 2.7 units (-110)
New Orleans Pelicans (-250)
The New Orleans Pelicans and Dallas Mavericks are two more teams that feature somewhat ridiculous home/road splits. New Orleans currently owns a 9-3 record at home, while that drops to 3-10 on the road. They also feature a +5.6 point differential in New Orleans, as opposed to a -2.4 point differential away from home. Dallas is in a similar situation, as they feature a 10-2 record in Dallas and a 2-8 record on the road. They own even larger splits, though, as they possess a dominant +8.7 point differential in Dallas, which dips to a -5.4 point differential on the road. The Pelicans could be without Nikola Mirotic tonight, which would add more risk to this bet. With that being said, Dallas is playing their second game of a back-to-back set, and they simply don’t travel well. New Orleans should have a massive home court advantage tonight.
Bet 3 units on New Orleans -6 spread to win 2.6 units (-115)
Los Angeles Clippers (+110)/Memphis Grizzlies (-130)
These are two completely different teams, and this total will come down to which team can control the game. The Los Angeles Clippers games are averaging 230.6 total points, while the Memphis Grizzlies games are averaging 207.5 total points per game. Judging by the moneyline and spread, the advantage would go to Memphis, who will be looking to keep the pace of this game as slow as possible. The splits suggest that, as well, as Memphis owns a 7-3 record at home, while Los Angeles has struggled at times with a 7-6 record on the road. Memphis simply doesn’t have the offense to keep up with Los Angeles, and they’ll be forced to make this a defensive struggle if they want to win. For that reason, I’m siding slightly with the under here.
Bet 2 units on Los Angeles/Memphis UNDER 210.5 to win 1.8 units (-110)
Parlay 2 units on Golden State -12 spread, Denver -5.5 spread, and Milwaukee -8.5 spread to win 12 units (+600)