What’s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my Value Plays article. I will be focusing solely on DraftKings. Always remember that the value on DraftKings is not always the value on FanDuel, or any other site you are playing on. If you haven’t signed up for core plays yet, make sure to do so by clicking here. We have daily, weekly, monthly, and season-long packages. You can try us out for as little as $5!
Value is mainly determined by two things: injury news or lazy pricing. A player could be underpriced because salaries came before injury news. A site can also be lazy and not raise the price of a player who has been playing way above their price, and getting the minutes to prove it’s sustainable.
If you are familiar with NBA DFS you know the best value could open up minutes before the slate locks. So, make sure to check back later in the day, the best value plays for the slate may change depending on if we get injury news we were not expecting or that we were waiting for all day. I will be providing an update at the bottom of the article if there is a need for it. There will be times we receive news less than an hour before lock, that is where it is vital to join our discord for free. Whether it is on the free side or the premium side there will always be people discussing injury news and how it has impacted the slate.
Also, make sure to check out our live odds on Bet Karma to stay up to date on how Vegas is projecting these games.
All plays are under $5000
Alec Burks $4900
Burks has seen a huge increase in minutes lately, mainly due to the lack of guards for the Knicks. They will be without Quickley, Rose, Payton, and Rivers tonight. He was able to play 36 minutes last game when the Knicks lost Quickley. After coming in the game at the 8:19 mark of the third quarter, he played every minute of the second half. We should see upwards of 40 minutes from him tonight and from other Knicks guys. It’s Thibs, he loves playing his guys 40+ minutes. So, now that they are shorthanded we will definitely see that tonight.
The Projections Portal has him projected at 30.90 DK Points
Frank Ntilikina $3000
I hate playing Ntilikina but just like Burks, the lack of guards makes him a fantastic value play. As long as he pulls the start I will have him in most of my lineups tonight. This is a simple case of more minutes equal fantasy points. He has two games of 20+ minutes this season and has averaged 15.5 DK points in both games. In general, he is averaging 0.65 fantasy points per minute so as long as he sees anywhere above 20 minutes he should hit value.
The Projections Portal has him projected at 19.20 DK Points
