What’s up Karma Nation! Welcome to another edition of my Value Plays article. I will be focusing solely on DraftKings. Always remember that the value on DraftKings is not always the value on FanDuel, or any other site you are playing on. If you haven’t signed up for core plays yet, make sure to do so by clicking here. We have daily, weekly, monthly, and season-long packages. You can try us out for as little as $5!
Value is mainly determined by two things: injury news or lazy pricing. A player could be underpriced because salaries came before injury news. A site can also be lazy and not raise the price of a player who has been playing way above their price, and getting the minutes to prove it’s sustainable.
If you are familiar with NBA DFS you know the best value could open up minutes before the slate locks. So, make sure to check back later in the day, the best value plays for the slate may change depending on if we get injury news we were not expecting or that we were waiting for all day. I will be providing an update at the bottom of the article if there is a need for it. There will be times we receive news less than an hour before lock, that is where it is vital to join our discord for free. Whether it is on the free side or the premium side there will always be people discussing injury news and how it has impacted the slate.
Also, make sure to check out our live odds on Bet Karma to stay up to date on how Vegas is projecting these games.
All plays are under $5000
Aleksej Pokuusevski $4400
Poku had been showing off his skills in the G-League but finally has the chance to join an NBA team. Not only join but start and did not disappoint. He has 30+ minutes in the last three games this season. He finally got the start without Al Horford and was able to put up 48 DK points on 39 minutes. His usage rate dropped down to 19.5% compared to 20.3 and 21.8% the previous two games but made up for it with the extra minutes.
He also gets an elite matchup against the Bulls who have been killed by bigs this season. They also play at one of the highest pace in the league and one of the worst defensive ratings in the league. Should lead to plenty of opportunities for him to hit value.
The Projections Portal has him projected at 26.40 DK Points
Moses Brown $3500
It’s an OKC night. Let’s look at another OKC big that will see a huge minutes increase and usage rate with the absence of Al Horford and Darius Bazley. Moses Brown started right alongside Poku last game. He put up 23.0 DK points in 24 minutes. He should see similar minutes tonight in a much easier matchup. Just like Poku he has profited from the absence of Bazley the last couple of games. Over the last three games, he is averaging 23 minutes and 23.75 DK points per game.
The Projections Portal has him projected at 23.30 DK Points
