Officially I will be switching off my DFS Showdown content and I will be focusing all my energy on getting my Monkey Knife Fight thoughts out to the public. This is a new article so I will be experimenting with some ideas to figure out the best way to inform the public on plays, while still giving the edge to us at Karma and joining our discord! Let me first start off by introducing myself, if you don’t already know me, I’m Joey your resident Prop Goat. I have basically fully transferred all my investment away from those huge DFS companies like Fanduel and Draftkings and I’m all in on Monkey Knife Fight. It was the best move I’ve made in my fantasy sports career and there really isn’t much turning back. I can’t get away from that GPP thrill so of course, I left money in DFS to ride out those GPP takedowns. Make sure you also check out me and Sam’s weekly Prop Party pod as well.
Make sure to check out Monkey Knife Fight projections built by Luke (NBA) (NFL) they are always great.
We have another special announcement for you involving FREE DISCORD!!!
Top Plays
James Harden UNDER 37.5 points: Harden is a stud and is in a great matchup there’s no denying that but there are a couple of issues with his over tonight. First is with the addition of House back into the lineup and Ben McLemore finding his shot, Harden just hasn’t been needed to shoot at such a high volume. Harden has been perfectly fine deferring to other guys when his team is healthy. He even said last year he knows this play isn’t sustainable for victories he is just doing what he has to do with injuries. In six games without House he is averaging 47.5 PPG and on 28 FGA and 17 FTA per game. While without him he is averaging 34.5 PPG on 22.5 FGA and 15 FTA per game. Second and what could be more important because the matchup is so good is the blowout potential. One of the killers to over props is blowouts. We have seen way too many times, especially in the Karma discord, blowouts killing a ton of our over props. This game currently has a 12 point spread. I normally avoid overs in games that have that huge of a spread because we could see them not even step on the floor in the 4th.
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Jaylen Brown over 29.5 fantasy points: Brown has been quietly having the best season on the Celtics this year. Especially if we get the news that Smart is out then this is one of my top plays on the slate. He is only in a 6/6 right now but you can get him in RFs for fantasy points too. This would be the main spot to get exposure to him in “Cash” Props. Smart did not go through shootaround and is still questionable. Not going through shootaround I am just going to assume he is out. With Smart off the floor and with Hayward, Tatum, Walker, and Brown on the floor guess who is scoring the most fantasy points? That’s right; Brown is at 49 fantasy points per 36 minutes, while Tatum is at 47, Hayward 38 and Kemba is all the way down at 31. Needless to say Tatum and Brown are my two favorite players on the Celtics tonight.
Trae Young UNDER 26.5 fantasy points/ UNDER 42.5 fantasy points: His points and fantasy points don’t correlate like most do but I still love the under on both of them. The Bulls are actually great at defending PGs. They rank first in DVOA this year against PGs. Young has already played the Bulls once this season and was held to only 9 points on 25% shooting. They only allow 20 PPG to PGs which is the lowest in the league. Young just had a heartbreaking overtime loss last night against the Heat and have to travel all the way to from Maimi to Chicago on a back to back.
Kawhi Leonard OVER 24.5 points: this is more of a gut play than a research play. Kawhi is getting his ring tonight in Toronto. So we have a double narrative tonight; Revenge and ring narratives.
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