This content piece will be dedicated to providing you with an easy to follow breakdown on the ELITE cash plays, SAFE GPP plays, LOW-OWNED GPP plays, and FADES of today’s NBA main slate.
By utilizing this content you will be able to build +EV lineups and start increasing your DFS ROI in MINUTES.
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| Guards | Forwards |
Centers | Game Stacks |
| J. Harden | S. Ibaka | C. Capela | Nuggets/Hawks |
| K. Lowry | M. Chriss | S. Adams | Mavericks/Thunder |
| F. VanVleet | D. DeRozan | K. Porzingis | Cavs/Raptors |
| R. Westbrook | D. Green | N. Jokic | Warriors/Spurs |
| D. Murray | O. Anunoby | J. Grant | N/A |
*If you don’t already play 3 lineups and 3 max entry contests daily, try using the teams provided in the stacks above to maximize upside and correlation in your NBA lineups.
Thoughts:
Updates to come to this section as we approach lock so continue to check back for more insight.
- We have a short-four game slate to close out the 2019 year. It’s pretty clear the route I am going to be taking with so many high priced options that grade out well but not a ton of value in the mid-tier or for cheap.
- A 10.5k James Harden in essentially the best game environment of the slate is hard to pass up and comes as essentially a lock. When looking at the next guard position you have a decision to make when it comes to Fred Vanvleet or Kyle Lowry. Both are priced extremely similarly and project extremely similarly atop the slate. This will be one of the crucial decisions you have to make today. I’m going to suggest leaning Kyle Lowry as his 90th percentile outcomes are clearly above FVV and where the two separate.
- When it comes to the value tier…. we have Marquese Chriss as the only player under 5k projecting well and he will end up being in plenty of my lineups. He’ll be one of the chalkiest players of the slate but it’s tough to get off of him.
- A key thing to remember is when game stacking your goal is to capture overtime minutes. This is especially crucial on short slates where a game stack of the OT game almost eliminates the other three games on the slate if we see a ton of players outperform. In order for a game to overtime, it would mean that the underdog OVERPERFORMS. Meaning you want more salary allocation, in most cases, from the team that is NOT favored rather than the team that is favored.
- A good example of this tonight is the Warriors vs the Spurs
- This game is going to be one of my preferred stacks of the slate as we get so much value from the Warriors with a low-owned Spurs side stack to pair up with it.
- Don’t be afraid to play a multitude of pieces from the Warriors as they are your best chance to plug in the elite plays you’ll need to succeed on this slate.
- A good example of this tonight is the Warriors vs the Spurs
- Obviously it is important to stay up to date on what value opens up closer to lock and weigh extreme value decisions (due to rest/injury).
If you don’t already follow me on Twitter for more sports insight.
- Twitter: @DF_Advantage
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DFS Karma is partnered with DraftKings and we are also avid fans and users and may sometimes play on our personal accounts in the games that we offer advice on. Although we have expressed our personal view on games and strategies, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and we may deploy different players and strategies than what we recommended in this article. We are not employees of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
