Bobby’s NBA Game Theory – 11/23/19 - DFS Karma
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Bobby’s NBA Game Theory – 11/23/19

Guards Forwards
Centers Game Stacks
D. Lillard Giannis ABC A. Drummond Hawks/Raptors
F. VanVleet P. Siakam M. Turner Blazers/Cavs
J. Morant D. Sabonis K. Birch Pistons/Bucks
T. Young J. Randle M. Robinson Lakers/Grizzlies
R. Barrett A. Davis J. Embiid Magic/Pacers

 

*If you don’t already play 3 lineups and 3 max entry contests daily, try using the teams provided in the stacks above to maximize upside and correlation in your NBA lineups.


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Thoughts:

Updates to come to this section as we approach lock so continue to check back for more insight.

  • The top play on the slate today is once again going to be Andre Drummond where he has come down to 8.3k and is clearly the best value on the slate.  Drummond and Giannis are where you are going to want to start your main builds out tonight as they are clearly underpriced.  When it comes to differentiating your lineup in GPPs, I imagine Pascal Siakam is going to be slightly under-owned giving his price.  This sets up to be a great spot for him and his position eligibility gives you the flexibility to pivot off either Giannis or Drummond.
  • The value tier is a good one today and where I’m going to be mixing in a lot of my GPP plays.  Utilize this player pool below with the starting points I gave you above to construct your teams.
    • RJ Barrett
    • TJ McConnell
    • Khem Birch
    • Norman Powell
    • Mitch Robinson
    • Al Horford
    • Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
    • TJ Warren
    • Carmelo Anthony
    • Christian Wood
    • Jaren Jackson Jr.
  • Focus on creating the core of your lineups using the table above and then mix in the players I listed above as ceiling/value plays into your lineups.  You will have success if you follow this approach.
  • I am going to be focused on exposing myself to high total games with tight spreads when stacking in GPPs.
    • One of the most underrated parts of NBA DFS is game stacking.  The amount of times game stacks are utilized compared to the number of overtimes we see in the NBA is extremely underutilized.
    • When playing the 50,000 person GPP’s, you should be picking a game that you think will be competitive with a chance to go to overtime.  We gain a ton of additional value when a game goes to overtime and we have the relevant DFS plays from that game stacked up.
    • Make sure to focus on the games I listed in the table above when looking to stack a game tonight in GPP.

 

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  • Twitter: @DF_Advantage

 

 

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