As NBA is a game where last-minute real-life changes are made before tipoff, always monitor breaking news up to last second!
The plays below in this daily article are low owned pivots and GPP plays. This means that these players will be RELATIVELY low owned and ‘contrarian’ relative to the more highly owned, chalky plays of the night. Remember you can access the more “safe”/”cash” plays by visiting ackarmasports.com > NBA > NBA Premium Articles. I would recommend taking a few of Bens players to build a “core lineup” around and then sprinkle in a few players from my article. THIS IS HOW YOU WIN TOURNAMENTS!!!!
BALL IN!
Point Guard
Top GPP Play: Terry Rozier – Scary Terry went off last night for over 56 fanduel points against a weak defensive team in the Sacremento Kings. We get a similar type game tonight with the Suns. I expect the Celtics to ride Rozier as far as minutes go and hope to see a nice usage bump after his huge game last night.
FADE: Andrew Harrison – 5.8k for Andrew Harrison in a game they’re barely projected for 100 points is way too much for me. Factor in that this guy is going to carry some decent ownership tonight and it’s an auto-fade from me.
Shooting Guard
Top GPP Play: Devin Booker – Booker is questionable tonight but I have a weird feeling that he is going to play tonight. Let’s not forget what Booker did to the Celtics last year this late in the season (70 real life points!!!). Booker 100% has this in the back of his mind and may come out firing tonight. I expect the Suns to let him loose and have his fun in a game he should easily hit value now that his price is down in the low 7k range.
FADE: Will Barton – At this price point I really don’t see a huge ceiling for Barton with all the mouths to feed on this Nuggets team. Hard seeing him go for more than 5x in this spot. Maybe safer for cash? I’m still fading.
Small Forward
Top GPP Play: Dillon Brooks- While twice the ownership will be on Andrew Harrison, Dillon Brooks is quietly projected for more minutes and a higher usage rate. Not to mention he is 1.6k cheaper on Fanduel tonight and offers much more in terms of steal/block upside. Easy to hedge the Harrison ownership tonight by being overexposed to Brooks. Load up.
Fade: Wilson Chandler – Chandler has been on quite the run lately bringing his price up to the 6k range on Fanduel. I’m not believing it and expect him to regress back to his mid-season form considering how low his usage rate is on this team. I won’t have any Wilson Chandler tonight.
Power Forward
Top GPP Play: Dario Saric – I think this game sets up perfectly for Saric’s play-style. His price has dipped below 6k on Fanduel and he is still seeing the same minutes and usage he has been seeing as he crushes value. Some lack of rebounds/steals/blocks have been hurting his fantasy numbers of late which have been the cause of his price drop. These are much more volatile stats and I’ll want to hop on that price drop and hope we get the peripherals to fall our way tonight.
Fade: Ben Simmons – There is no need to pay up for Ben Simmons tonight as 1.) Griffin/Randle are in smash spots and where you probably want to pay up. 2.) Saric is in a better spot than Simmons tonight.
Center
Top GPP Play: Brook Lopez – Ownership is going to be extremely spread out tonight on Fanduel considering all the stud centers on this slate. People are going to over-look Brook Lopez (who has been on fire) and is in a great matchup against a Pistons team that is bad against the center position. Lopez’s ability to stretch the floor is going to kill Andre Drummond tonight and should definitely cap his upside on all cylinders. I am going to have a ton of Blake Griffin for this exact reason. I’m calling over 10 boards for Griffin tonight.
Fade: Andre Drummond- For the love of God don’t play Andre Drummond tonight. He’s going to need 20 rebounds to hit value and I’m going to throw a bold call out there. He won’t even get 10 (which is extremely bold considering how bad a rebounder Brook Lopez is).
Written By: Robert Viafora
DISCLAIMER: This report has been prepared and issued by AcKarmaSports LLC for publication globally. All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however, we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report. AcKarmaSports LLC is not responsible for any losses sustained. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department at AcKarmaSports LLC at the time of publication.
