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In yesterday’s article, we went crazy, cashing 4 out of 4!! The two main plays with analysis hit as well as the two bonus plays! Talk about a perfect night…Luka had just barely made it on the 1h over, but he saved us with the last-second free throws, and Jimmy Butler dominated the second half, DESTROYING his protection of 33.5 PRA. Can we go for three nights in a row? The answer is yes, just keep reading…
AL Horford OVER 8.5 Rebounds
Horford has been over this number in all three games vs the Bucks this series. He is averaging 12.3 rebounds in this series so far and playing very high minutes, averaging 37 minutes, and had a total of 39 minutes last game. Getting usage like that he should have no problem grabbing nine boards and securing the over. The books also love this play having him at -155 leaning to go over. Some sites are even listing him at 9.5, while PrizePicks has him at 8.5. I’m taking this as my first play of the day, and hoping for Horford to continue his rebounding streak.
Confidence Meter (1-10): 7
Jayson Tatum 1H UNDER 19 PRA
Tatum has gone under this number five of the last five games and didn’t even get halfway to this number in the last game. He has a tough matchup facing Giannis, and as long as he doesn’t start the game off hot he should stay under. He didn’t even cover this number in the final two games vs Brooklyn, and they are one of the worst defensive teams in the league, so I don’t think he will hit this against a higher-ranked Bucks defense. There is always that risk factor of betting the under of a star, but I’m going with my gut on this under.
Confidence Meter (1-10): 7
Brook Lopez OVER 6 Rebounds
In this series vs the Celtics, Lopez has been averaging 8.6 rebounds. His prop is only at six…I’m loving this play and I see it as a worst-case scenario being a push. He has been averaging 27 minutes in this series. Lopez also has never gone under six rebounds in this series, grabbing 10, 6, and 10 throughout the first three games. I look for him to continue that streak and go for 6+ rebounds.
Confidence Meter (1-10): 6
Other Plays I Like
Jrue Holiday OVER 20.5 Points (Confidence Meter: 6)
Written by Biggie
