Welcome to Bales’ Premium PrizePicks – NBA Player Props 2/3! Below I will discuss my NBA favorite plays for tonight’s slate!
Power Play
Collin Sexton has caught fire recently. He’s averaging 23.3 points, 3.0 rebounds, 4.0 assists, and 1.5 steals (35.9 fantasy points) in 34.3 minutes per game over the last 10 days. Over that span, he’s shooting 52.9% from the field, 44.0% from beyond the arc, and 95.5% from the line. Each of these numbers are significantly higher than his season averages. Sexton gets a matchup against the New York Knicks. They rank 22nd in the NBA in pace and 23rd in defensive rating. With that being said, New York has found success against the point guard this season. Sexton has struggled in each of his last two games against New York, scoring fewer than 33.5 fantasy points in each matchup. He needs another extremely efficient scoring game to find the over, and that may be difficult in this matchup.
Kristaps Porzingis has looked elite with Luka Doncic off the court this season. In his last game without Doncic, Porzingis posted 54.4 fantasy points against the Houston Rockets. Doncic also missed a string of four games earlier this season. In those games, Porzingis averaged 22.5 points, 13.8 rebounds, 1.5 assists, and 2.8 blocks (50.0 fantasy points) in 35.7 minutes per game. He also posted 44+ fantasy points in each of his 5 games without Doncic this season. Porzingis could see extra rebounding opportunities in this game with Dwight Powell out, as well. He gets a tough matchup against the Indiana Pacers, who rank 26th in the NBA in pace and eighth in defensive rating. Even with a tough matchup, Porzingis makes an elite option with Doncic off the court, and this total is entirely too low.
Play 1 unit on Collin Sexton UNDER 33.5 fantasy points and Kristaps Porzingis OVER 43.2 fantasy points to win 2.5 units (2.5x)
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