Welcome to Bales’ Premium PrizePicks – NBA Player Props 2/28! Below I will discuss my NBA favorite plays for tonight’s slate!
Power Play
Devonte’ Graham recently had a pair of bad games, causing his total to drop. He shot 1-17 from the field in those contests. He saw 34 minutes in his last game, though, scoring 30.7 fantasy points. Prior to his struggles, Graham posted 40+ fantasy points in 3 consecutive games. He’ll be locked into 30+ minutes with a larger offensive role due to the Malik Monk suspension. Graham gets a tough matchup against the Toronto Raptors. They rank 14th in the NBA in pace and second in defensive rating. This total is entirely too low for Graham in full minutes and his normal role.
Jonas Valanciunas was to take on bigger minutes with Jaren Jackson Jr. and Brandon Clarke injured, but that hasn’t been the case. He’s averaging 9.3 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 1.0 assist (22.7 fantasy points) in only 23.1 minutes per game since the All Star Break. Valanciunas is expected to see minutes in the mid-20s tonight, similar to what he’s seen for the majority of the season. He gets an interesting matchup against the Sacramento Kings. They only rank 24th in the NBA in pace and 18th in defensive rating. Valanciunas would need an extremely efficient game to find the over, as he has posted fewer than 30 fantasy points in each of his last 4 games.
Play 1 unit on Devonte’ Graham OVER 26.5 fantasy points and Jonas Valanciunas UNDER 35.0 fantasy points to win 2.5 units (2.5x)
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