Welcome to Bales’ Premium PrizePicks – NBA Player Props 2/7! Below I will discuss my NBA favorite plays for tonight’s slate!
Power Play
Devonte’ Graham has seen plenty of ups and downs recently. He’s averaging 15.2 points, 2.8 rebounds, 8.4 assists, and 1.4 steals (33.0 fantasy points) in 35.5 minutes per game over the last 10 days. He’s coming off of a 47.8 fantasy point performance, but scored fewer than 35 fantasy points in 8 consecutive games prior to that. Graham gets an interesting matchup against the Detroit Pistons. He has dominated them in three matchups this season, although those games happened significantly earlier than his recent struggles. Detroit only ranks 21st in the NBA in defensive rating, although they rank 26th in pace. The slow pace of this game will limit Graham’s opportunities, and he could struggle to find the over once again tonight.
De’Aaron Fox has been somewhat of a boom or bust option this season. Over the last 10 days, he’s averaging 23.6 points, 3.2 rebounds, 6.2 assists, and 1.4 steals (39.7 fantasy points) in 32.6 minutes per game over the last 10 days. Fox hasn’t consistently posted 40+ fantasy points, but he gets a solid matchup tonight. He’ll face off against the Milwaukee Bucks. They lead the NBA in defensive rating, but also lead the league in pace. This will give Fox more opportunities for fantasy points in this game. In their only matchup this season, Fox easily outscored his total tonight. He was also inefficient in that game, meaning he comes with significantly more scoring potential in this matchup. Fox certainly comes with a bit of risk, but this total is a bit low for his upside in this matchup.
Play 1 unit on Devonte’ Graham UNDER 35.2 fantasy points and De’Aaron Fox OVER 39.5 fantasy points to win 2.5 units (2.5x)
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