Welcome to Bales’ Premium PrizePicks – NBA Player Props 1/28! Below I will discuss my NBA favorite plays for tonight’s slate!
Power Play
Zion Williamson has looked the part of an elite player through three games this season. He’s averaging 19.3 points, 8.0 rebounds, and 1.7 assists (31.1 fantasy points) in only 22.1 minutes per game. He has been extremely efficient, aside from the free throw line. Williamson simply isn’t playing major minutes yet. He saw 27 minutes in his last game, and could see similar minutes tonight. He saw 16 shot attempts in his last game, while double-doubling, but only scoring 36.2 fantasy points. Williamson struggles to protect the ball, resulting in 3.3 turnovers per game. He gets a great matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers, but needs a near flawless game to find this over while he’s on a minute’s restriction.
Collin Sexton is averaging 23.5 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 4.0 assists (33.5 fantasy points) in 35.5 minutes per game over the last 10 days. He has scored 33+ fantasy points in 3 of his last 6 games. Sexton gets an elite matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans, who rank sixth in the NBA in pace and 25th in defensive rating. In his last two games against fast paced teams, Sexton scored 43.8 and 38.8 fantasy points. He’s locked into big minutes, and a focal point of the Cleveland offense. He relies heavily on scoring, and should see plenty of easy baskets in this particular matchup. Sexton certainly comes with some risk, but this total is a bit low for the matchup.
Play 1 unit on Zion Williamson UNDER 33.5 fantasy points and Collin Sexton OVER 33.0 fantasy points to win 2.5 units (2.5x)
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